试论完善数字技术安全使用统计指标体系

M. Karyshev
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摘要

本文介绍了在信息通信技术发展的新阶段,如何提高数字技术的安全使用问题的一些研究成果。这种相关性可以通过以下事实来解释:在当前信息社会发展和经济数字化转型的条件下,信息通信技术的使用不仅会带来已知的积极的社会经济影响,而且也会带来不可避免的负面影响。保护个人、社会和国家的利益免受内部和外部信息威胁的目标与信息安全的概念有关。其边界的扩展-从保护信息系统(计算机安全和网络安全)的低级技术措施到在此背景下对经济生产的战略管理-创造了一个新的相关类别,数字安全,并要求将这些术语合并为“安全使用数字技术”的一般概念的权宜之计。作者分析了对所考虑的问题进行统计研究的现有方法方法,并提出了改进相应统计指标体系的若干建议。在分析中使用了描述性统计、相关回归分析和机器学习方法(特别是基于决策树的各种分类算法变体)来实现这一目标。在研究与统计资源间接相关的信息和方法来源时(研究了一个知名的网络平台,汇集了数据科学和机器学习领域的研究人员,Kaggle),作者分析了对公司的主题调查结果。通过对“安全使用数字技术”因素对经济活动效率的影响进行建模,可以确定,其变化幅度约为三分之一,决定了公司在现有人口中的经济效率水平。机器学习技术的应用已经产生了可接受的质量预测模型,用于在相同因素背景下根据经济活动对公司进行分类。作者认为,从实际的角度来看,将所提出的方法应用于统计指标体系的形成,将有利于管理确保数字技术在企业、地区和国家一级整体使用安全的过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
On Improving the System of Statistical Indicators of the Secure Use of Digital Technologies
The article presents some results of the study of problems of improving the secure use of digital technologies in the new stage of the development of information and communication technologies (ICT). The relevance is explained by the fact that the use of ICT in the current conditions of the development of the information society and the digital transformation of the economy not only leads to the known positive socio-economic effects but also presupposes the inevitable negative impacts. The objective of protecting the interests of an individual, society, and the state from internal and external information threats is related to the concept of information security. The expansion of its boundaries – from low-level technical measures for the protection of information systems (computer security and cybersecurity) to the strategic management of economic production in this context – has created a new relevant category, digital security, and dictates the expediency of combining these terms into a general concept of «secure use of digital technologies».The author analyzed the existing methodological approaches to the statistical study of the problems under consideration and developed several proposals for improving the corresponding system of statistical indicators. Methods of descriptive statistics, correlation-regression analysis, and machine learning methods (in particular, various variants of classification algorithms based on decision trees) were used in the analysis to achieve this goal.While studying information and methodological sources which are indirectly related to statistical resources (a well-known web platform that brings together researchers in the field of data science and machine learning, Kaggle, was examined), the author analyzed the results of a thematic survey of companies. As a result of modeling the influence of the «secure use of digital technologies» factor on the efficiency of economic activity, it was established that its variation by about a third determines the level of economic efficiency of the company within the presented population. The application of machine learning techniques has resulted in acceptable quality predictive models for classifying companies by economic activity in the same factor context.From a practical point of view, according to the author, the application of the proposed approach to the formation of a system of statistical indicators shall be beneficial for managing processes that ensure the security of the use of digital technologies at the enterprise, region, and country level as a whole.
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