金融危机对伊拉克、伊朗和土耳其宏观经济变量的影响

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
Y. A. Ahmed, Biaban Nwri Rostam, B. A. Mohammed
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本研究调查了1980年至2017年期间,在一些发展中国家,即伊拉克、伊朗和土耳其,金融危机对包括国内生产总值(GDP)、出口、通货膨胀和汇率在内的宏观经济变量的影响。在此过程中,它执行单位根和协整检验,并采用广义最小二乘法和面板动态最小二乘法估计方法。研究结果/原创性:实证结果表明,金融危机对各国GDP、出口、通货膨胀和汇率有不同程度的影响。虽然亚洲金融危机对伊朗和伊拉克的GDP产生了显著的负面影响,但全球金融危机对所有国家的出口都产生了负面影响。然而,亚洲和全球危机都对通货膨胀产生了积极影响,因为金融危机减少了家庭和政府层面的支出。因此,世界各国政府都试图将通货膨胀率降到最低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The effect of the financial crisis on macroeconomic variables in Iraq, Iran, and Turkey
This study investigates the effect of financial crises on macroeconomic variables that include gross domestic product (GDP), export, inflation, and exchange rates, in some developing countries, namely Iraq, Iran, and Turkey, from 1980 to 2017. In doing so, it performed unit root and cointegration tests and employed generalized least square and panel dynamic least squares estimating methods. Findings/Originality: The empirical results show that the financial crises affect GDP, export, inflation, and exchange rates of the countries at different levels. While the Asian financial crisis shows a significant negative effect on GDP in Iran and Iraq, the global financial crisis exhibits a negative influence on export in all countries. Nevertheless, both Asian and global crises positively affect inflation because financial crises reduce expenditure at the family and government levels. Thus, governments worldwide attempt to minimize the inflation rate.
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来源期刊
自引率
20.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
12 weeks
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