基于智能模型、集成学习和特征选择的股票价格预测

Mohammad Taghi Faghihi Nezhad, Mahdi Rezaei
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于人工智能的模型的使用表明,尽管股市具有不确定性和不稳定性,但它是可以预测的。在股票市场中,所提出的模型面临的最大挑战是结果的准确性和提高预测效率。为了克服这一挑战,本文采用基于智能学习者的集成学习(EL)模型和元启发式优化方法来最大限度地提高预测性能。预测模型中输入的多样性降低了执行速度并增加了复杂性。该模型通过特征选择,提高了模型的准确性和实时性。采用遗传算法(GA)和粒子群优化(PSO)技术对基学习器的聚合结果进行优化。股票市场数据的评价结果表明,该模型能够克服市场波动,可以作为一个可靠的模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock price prediction using intelligent models, Ensemble Learning and feature selection
The use of artificial intelligence-based models have shown that the stock market is predictable despite its uncertainty and unstable nature. The most important challenge of the proposed models in the stock market is the accuracy of the results and increasing the forecasting efficiency. To overcome this challenge, this paper employs ensemble learning (EL) model using intelligence-based learners and metaheuristic optimization methods to maximize the improvement of forecasting performance. The multiplicity of inputs in the prediction model reduces the speed of execution and increases complexity. The proposed model, with feature selection, increases the accuracy and use as a real-time model. Genetic algorithm (GA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) technique are used to optimize the aggregation results of the base learners. The evaluation results of stock market dataset show that the proposed model can overcome the market fluctuations and can be used as a reliable model.
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