王朝财富的神话:富人越来越穷

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Cato Journal Pub Date : 2015-04-27 DOI:10.2139/SSRN.2599827
R. Arnott, William J. Bernstein, Lillian J. Wu
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引用次数: 16

摘要

托马斯·皮凯蒂(Thomas Piketty)的《21世纪资本论》(Capital in the Twenty-First Century)在2013年出版的那一刻就迅速登上了畅销书排行榜的榜首,并在那里呆了几个月。虽然这一成就对于一部重量级的经济学巨著来说是相当了不起的,但皮凯蒂的巨著为什么会引起如此轰动也就不足为奇了;这本书表述清晰,非经济学者也能读懂,具有坚实的新凯恩斯主义基础,并包含了大量的历史见解。我们认为,由于皮凯蒂的基本假设存在一些根本的、可避免的错误,他的核心信息显然在几个层面上存在缺陷。他首先提出了一个合理的假设,即投资资本回报率r超过宏观经济增长g,这在任何健康的经济体中都必然是正确的。但从这种近乎重复的论调开始,他继续假设,富裕家庭将在未来几代人的时间里变得越来越富有,从而导致一个由不劳而获的世袭财富主导的社会。唉,这个逻辑只有在富人从不通过消费、慈善捐赠、税收和在多个继承人之间分配遗产来分散财富的情况下才成立。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Myth of Dynastic Wealth: The Rich Get Poorer
Thomas Piketty’s Capital in the Twenty-First Century rocketed to the top of the best-seller lists the moment it was published in 2013, and remained there for months. While this feat is quite remarkable for a weighty tome on economics, it’s no mystery why Piketty’s magnum opus created such a sensation; it is clearly articulated, accessible to the non-economist, has a sound neo-Keynesian foundation, and contains a trove of historical insights. We believe Piketty’s core message is provably flawed on several levels, as a result of fundamental and avoidable errors in his basic assumptions. He begins with the sensible presumption that the return on invested capital, r, exceeds macroeconomic growth, g, as must be true in any healthy economy. But from this near-tautology, he moves on to presume that wealthy families will grow ever richer over future generations, leading to a society dominated by unearned, hereditary wealth. Alas, this logic holds true only if the wealthy never dissipate their wealth through spending, charitable giving, taxation, and splitting bequests among multiple heirs.
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来源期刊
Cato Journal
Cato Journal Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
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