从不同角度看越南BOT交通项目的风险分配

P. Le, P. Pham
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引用次数: 1

摘要

建设运营转让(BOT)方式已广泛应用于越南的基础设施系统投资,特别是交通运输领域。由于利益相关者参与的复杂性和特许期较长,这种投资方式面临着很高的风险。然而,风险管理在这些项目中的应用仍然不足。本研究旨在找出最合适的风险分配机制,并调查越南BOT运输项目中公共和私营部门对风险分配的看法差异。采用访谈和问卷调查相结合的混合方法收集相关数据,通过描述性统计分析和推理性统计分析进行分析。描述性统计分析的结果表明,从两个部门的角度来看,只有一个风险即“政府政策的变化”建议分配给公共部门,而应该分配给私营部门的风险数量为12个。与此同时,大多数风险(27个风险)建议由公共和私营部门共同承担。此外,推论统计分析表明,除了“决策过程不良”的风险外,公共部门和私营部门在风险分配方面的看法没有统计学上的显著差异。因此,作为研究的结果,在BOT运输项目中制定了风险分配建议,这有助于协助当局提供与这些项目有关的适当法律和政策。此外,研究结果似乎有助于建立与PPP采购相关的知识体系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk allocation in BOT transportation projects in Vietnam from different viewpoints
The Built Operate Transfer (BOT) method has been used popularly to invest into infrastructure system in Vietnam, especially in transportation sector. This investment method has been confronted with a high level of risks due to the complexity of stakeholders’ involvements and a lengthy concession period. However, risk management application in these projects is still inadequate. This study aims at finding out what is the most suitable risk allocation mechanism and investigating the differences in the perception between public and private sector regarding risk allocation in BOT transportation projects in Vietnam. A mixed-method was adopted including interviews and a questionnaire survey to collected relevant data which then were analyzed through descriptive and inferential statistical analysis. The result of descriptive statistical analysis showed that from the viewpoint of both sectors, only one risk namely "changes in government policies" was suggested to be allocated to public sector while the number of risks supposed to allocate to private sector was twelve. Meanwhile, a majority of risks (27 risks) were suggested to be shared between public and private sector. Moreover, inferential statistical analysis indicated that there is no statistical significant difference in the perception of public and private sector in terms of risk allocation, except the risk of "poor decision-making process". As a result, a risk allocation recommendation in BOT transportation projects was established as an outcome of the research, which contributes to assist authorities in order to provide suitable laws and policies related to these projects. Also, the research results appear to be useful in contributing to the body of knowledge related to PPP procurement.
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