评估南德克萨斯地区气候变化的风险

E. Merem, Y. Twumasi, J. Wesley, D. Olagbegi, M. Crisler, C. Romorno, M. Alsarari, P. Isokpehi, M. Alrefai, S. Ochai, E. Nwagboso, S. Fageir, S. Leggett
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候参数变化的压倒性力量每年对沿海社区造成的破坏,在造成任何形式的损害时,都不会区分边界。因此,在过去的几年里,气候风险继续困扰着德克萨斯州的南部。鉴于其地理位置,南德克萨斯州地区以及毗邻墨西哥湾的地区作为投机资本和自然资源开采的中心,面临着巨大规模热带风暴的威胁。在这些环境中,暴风雨带来的巨大压力往往会在周围的生态环境中留下不可磨灭的足迹。这对自然环境和建筑环境都产生了极端影响,特别是在大城市周围,这些城市拥有重要的基础设施,对南德克萨斯州的经济发展和石油和自然资源资产的生产能力至关重要。然而,该地区易受自然灾害影响,沿海生态系统脆弱,靠近由油气田、炼油厂和管道组成的大型能源基础设施网络,使情况进一步复杂化。随着时间的推移,石油化工综合体、蓬勃发展的自然资源基础、交通走廊、新兴的城市中心和社区往往处于周期性气候灾害的接收端,由于位于更大区域生态系统内的环境、物理、社会经济和政策因素,增加了固有风险。然而,目前的气候变化研究在混合尺度取向下利用地理空间信息技术的最新进展评估南德克萨斯地区的气候变化情况方面做得很少。考虑到这些研究空白,本文采用混合尺度方法,利用描述性统计和GIS地理信息系统分析的二次数据,对南德克萨斯地区的气候变化影响进行了评估。重点是问题、趋势、影响、因素和缓解措施。结果表明,气候灾害在研究区广泛发生,影响明显,主要表现为暴雨引起的特大洪水对环境的破坏。这还涉及到石油设施、公民流离失所和财产损失的风险。地理信息系统的趋势图精确地指出,随着时间的推移,压力源和退化的便利设施分散在整个空间中,与社会经济、物理和生态因素存在联系。为了纠正这种情况,该文件提供了许多解决方案,包括采用有效的政策、增长管理、监测、设计区域气候信息系统和公众教育。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessing the Risks from Changing Climate in South Texas Region
The yearly dose of havoc unleashed from the overwhelming forces of changing climatic parameters on coastal communities does not differentiate among boundaries when inflicting damages of any kind. For that, in the last several years, climate risks continue to plague the southern portion of Texas. Give its location, the South Texas’ region, and adjourning areas along the Gulf of Mexico as a hub for speculative capital and natural resource extraction face exposures from the menace of tropical storms of immense scales. The ferocious pressures from heavy storms in these settings are such that, they often leave in their wake indelible footprint on the surrounding ecology. This comes with extreme impacts on both the natural and built-up environments particularly around big cities holding vital infrastructure crucial in economic development and productive capacity of petroleum and natural resource assets of South Texas. While the situation is further compounded by the region’s propensity to natural disasters and the fragile coastal ecosystem close to enormous network of large-scale energy infrastructure made up of oil and gas fields, refineries, and pipelines. The presence of petrochemical complexes, thriving natural resource base, transportation corridors, burgeoning urban centers, and neighborhoods often at the receiving end of recurrent climate hazards over time, increases the inherent risks, due to environmental, physical, and socio-economic and policy factors located within the larger regional ecosystem. Yet, current studies in climate change have done very little in assessing the situation in south Texas region with the latest advances in geospatial information technology under a mix scale orientation. Considering these voids in research, this paper assesses changing climate impacts in the South Texas region using secondary data analyzed with descriptive statistics and (GIS) Geographic Information System under a mix scale method. With emphasis on the issues, trends, impacts, factors, and mitigation measures. The results revealed widespread occurrence of climatic hazards in the study area with visible impacts in the form of heavy floods from storms leading to environmental damages. This involves also risks to petroleum amenities and displacement of citizens and the loss of properties. The GIS mapping of the trends pinpointed clusters of heavy presence of stressors and degraded amenities dispersed across space over time with linkages to socio-economic, physical, and ecological elements. To remedy the situation, the paper proffered numerous solutions ranging from the adoption of effective policy, growth management, monitoring, the design of a regional climate information systems and education of the public.
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