印尼的包容性增长减弱?互联网渗透带来的意想不到的后果

Hidsal Jamil
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引用次数: 2

摘要

关于互联网普及对经济增长、人均收入水平、不平等和贫困水平影响的独立研究仍在讨论中。本文利用2008年至2020年间印尼33个省份的数据,研究了互联网普及率是否通过减少不平等和贫困来调节经济增长。采用双向固定效应(TWFE)计量经济模型。从本文中可以得出两个结论。首先,印尼的经济增长仍然缺乏包容性,人均收入的增加往往会减少贫困,但不会减少收入不平等。其次,印尼的经济增长往往缺乏包容性,这是互联网普及的一个意外后果。虽然它加强了对减贫的影响,但另一方面,经济增长与互联网普及的相互作用往往会加剧收入不平等。基于这些发现,该研究建议政府应该提高先进的信息通信技术技能,降低采用互联网的障碍,尤其是对那些不那么幸运的人。根据这一政策,互联网将成为通过扩大新形成的中产阶级来实现包容性增长的工具,而不仅仅是将贫困家庭的经济转变为非贫困家庭。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
LESS INCLUSIVE GROWTH IN INDONESIA? THE UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES OF INTERNET PENETRATION
Separate studies on the impact of internet penetration on growth and per capita income levels, inequality, and poverty levels are still being discussed. Using data from 33 Indonesian provinces between 2008 and 2020, this paper investigates whether internet penetration modulates economic growth by reducing inequality and poverty. The Two-Way Fixed Effect (TWFE) econometric model was used. Two findings can be concluded from this paper. First, Indonesia's economic growth remains less inclusive, as evidenced by rising per capita income, which tends to reduce poverty but not income inequality. Second, Indonesia's economic growth tends to be less inclusive as an unintended consequence of internet penetration. Although it strengthens the effect on poverty reduction, on the other hand, the interaction of economic growth with internet penetration tends to exacerbate income inequality. Based on these findings, the study suggests that the government should improve advanced ICT skills and lower barriers to internet adoption, particularly for the less fortunate. The internet is expected to become a tool to achieve inclusive growth through expanding a newly established middle class instead of simply the economic transformation of the poor into non-poor households under this policy.
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