Well Interference Detection from Long-Term Pressure Data Using Machine Learning and Multiresolution Analysis

Knowledge of reservoir heterogeneity and connectivity is fundamental for reservoir management. Methods such as interference tests or tracers have been developed to obtain that knowledge from dynamic data. However, detecting well connectivity using interference tests requires long periods of time with a stable reservoir pressure and constant flow-rate conditions. Conversely, the long duration and high frequency of well production data have high value for detecting connectivity if noise, abrupt changes in flow-rate and missing data are dealt with. In this work, a methodology to detect interference from longterm pressure and flow-rate data was developed using multiresolution analysis in combination with machine learning algorithms. The methodology presents high accuracy and robustness to noise while requiring little to no data preprocessing. The methodology builds on previous work using the Maximal Overlap Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to analyze long-term pressure data. The new approach uses the ability of the MODWT to capture, synthesize and discriminate the relevant reservoir response for each individual well at different time scales while still honoring the relevant flow-physics. By first applying the MODWT to the flow rate history, a machine learning algorithm was used to estimate the pressure response of each well as it would be in isolation. Interference can be detected by comparing the output of the machine learning model with the unprocessed pressure data. A set of machine learning, and deep learning algorithms were tested including Kernel Ridge Regression, Lasso Regression and Recurrent Neural Networks. The machine learning models were able to detect interference at different distances even with the presence of high noise and missing data. The results were validated by comparing the machine learning output with the theoretical pressure response of wells in isolation. Additionally, it was proved that applying the MODWT multiresolution analysis to pressure and flow-rate data creates a set of "virtual wells" that still follow the diffusion equation and allow for a simplified analysis. By using production data, the proposed methodology allows for the detection of interference effects without the need of a stabilized pressure field. This allows for a significant cost reduction and no operational overhead because the detection does not require well shut-ins and it can be done regardless of operation opportunities or project objectives. Additionally, the long-term nature of production data can detect connectivity even at long distances even in the presence of noise and incomplete data.