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引用次数: 0
摘要
本文采用了基于多元一般自回归条件异方差(MGARCH)模型的两种框架,即动态条件相关(DCC)模型和Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner (BEKK)模型。DCC参数证实了评估五种加密货币(比特币、狗狗币、以太坊、门罗币和Peercoin)回报波动的溢出效应的重要结果。它表明,加密货币市场的回报将是不稳定的,与时变模式有关。大多数ARCH和GARCH效应在估计回报-挖矿盈利能力、回报-推特和挖矿盈利能力-推特三对时显著。对于加密货币收益和盈利能力对,收益取决于未来价格收益和交叉波动溢出效应,且大于其自身波动溢出效应。此外,发现BEKK对角模型是回报采矿盈利能力的最佳模型。研究界还可以获得有关加密货币投资模型的宝贵见解,从而提供更广泛的未来研究领域。
CRYPTOCURRENCY, PROFITABILITY, AND TWEETER: A MGARCH FRAMEWORK
This paper used two frames based on the Multivariate General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (MGARCH) model, namely the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) and the Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner (BEKK) models. DCC parameters confirmed the significant results to assess the spillover effects for return volatilities of five cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Dogecoin, Ethereum, Monero, and Peercoin). It indicated that cryptocurrency market returns would be volatile, connected with the time-varying pattern. Most ARCH and GARCH effects were significant in estimating the three pairs of return-mining profitability, return-Tweet, and mining profitability-Tweet. For the cryptocurrency return and profitability pair, returns depended on future price returns and cross-volatility spillover and were greater than their own volatility spillover effect. Moreover, the BEKK diagonal model was found to be the best model for return-mining profitability. The research community can also gain valuable insights into cryptocurrency investment models, offering wider future areas of research.
期刊介绍:
The GEJ seeks to publish original and innovative research, as well as novel analysis, relating to the global economy. While its main emphasis is economic, the GEJ is a multi-disciplinary journal. The GEJ''s contents mirror the diverse interests and approaches of scholars involved with the international dimensions of business, economics, finance, history, law, marketing, management, political science, and related areas. The GEJ also welcomes scholarly contributions from officials with government agencies, international agencies, and non-governmental organizations. One over-arching theme that unites IT&FA members and gives focus to this journal is the complex globalization process, involving flows of goods and services, money, people, and information.