{"title":"自然界中的极端事件:对复杂动力学理解的挑战","authors":"H. Kantz","doi":"10.2495/ECO-V1-N2-149-161","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The occurrence of extreme events in complex systems is not just a statistical issue but also a dynamical one. The dynamics which is responsible for the normal fluctuations exhibited by a system must also be capable of generating extreme excursions. Such a dynamical point of view offers new approaches towards understanding and prediction of the occurrence of extreme events.","PeriodicalId":13902,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Design & Nature and Ecodynamics","volume":"45 1","pages":"149-161"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2006-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Extreme events in nature: A challenge for the understanding of complex dynamics\",\"authors\":\"H. Kantz\",\"doi\":\"10.2495/ECO-V1-N2-149-161\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The occurrence of extreme events in complex systems is not just a statistical issue but also a dynamical one. The dynamics which is responsible for the normal fluctuations exhibited by a system must also be capable of generating extreme excursions. Such a dynamical point of view offers new approaches towards understanding and prediction of the occurrence of extreme events.\",\"PeriodicalId\":13902,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Design & Nature and Ecodynamics\",\"volume\":\"45 1\",\"pages\":\"149-161\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2006-06-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Design & Nature and Ecodynamics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2495/ECO-V1-N2-149-161\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Design & Nature and Ecodynamics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2495/ECO-V1-N2-149-161","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Extreme events in nature: A challenge for the understanding of complex dynamics
The occurrence of extreme events in complex systems is not just a statistical issue but also a dynamical one. The dynamics which is responsible for the normal fluctuations exhibited by a system must also be capable of generating extreme excursions. Such a dynamical point of view offers new approaches towards understanding and prediction of the occurrence of extreme events.