股票市场的宏观经济决定因素和相互依赖性

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
Asim Rafiq, S. Hassan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文运用约翰森协整模型和动态条件相关-广义自回归条件异方差(DCC GARCH)模型,研究了中国与10个新兴经济体股市的长期相互依赖关系。运用面板回归分析,分析了股票市场与宏观经济决定因素之间的动态关联。研究发现/原创性:研究结果表明,中国股市与其他新兴市场的股市存在协整性。这证实了中国与其他新兴经济体之间的关系一直在不断加强。它的结论是,中国和其他新兴经济体之间存在长期的相互依存关系。此外,面板回归结果显示,宏观经济因素对中国与十大新兴经济体之间的股票市场相关性没有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Macro-economic determinant and interdependence of the stock markets
This study examines the time-varying long-term stock market interdependence between china and the ten emerging economies, using Johansen co-integration and Dynamic Conditional Correlation-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (DCC GARCH) model. It analyses the dynamic association between the equity markets and the macroeconomic determinants using panel regression analysis. Findings/originality : The results indicate that the Chinese stock market are co-integrated with the stock market of the other emerging markets. It confirms that the relationship between china and the other emerging economies has been increasing over time. It concludes that there is long run interdependence between the Chinese and the other emerging economies. In addition, the results of the panel regression show that macroeconomic determinants have no significant effect on the equity market correlations between China and the ten emerging economies.
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来源期刊
自引率
20.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
12 weeks
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