深海海啸测量的历史与未来

E. Bernard, C. Meinig
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引用次数: 51

摘要

将介绍为预报沿海海啸影响而对深海海啸进行实时测量的发展历史,早期历史包括为确定是否可以在深海测量海啸而测试的各种仪器。为了测量海啸引起的压力变化,需要在海底安装一个高分辨率的压力传感器,以提供一个静止的环境,使海洋能够过滤掉频率更高的海浪。仪器包括放置在海底的波登管和振动晶体,以海洋深度作为压力参考。一旦认为深海测量是可能的,就会进行测试和评估,以确定哪种技术是准确的、负担得起的和足够可靠的,可以用于海啸预警条件下的海啸预报。到2003年10月,美国国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)完成了研究和开发,包括一个可操作的原型,当时该技术被转移到NOAA的业务部门。第一代深海海啸评估和报告(DART I)阵列由六个台站组成,这些台站战略性地位于阿拉斯加、俄勒冈州和赤道附近,用于探测源自智利/秘鲁地区的海啸。最初的DART阵列在四个月内通过测量源自阿拉斯加的小型海啸,并将这些数据实时传输到NOAA的太平洋海啸预警中心,证明了它的价值。海啸数据表明,已经产生了一场非破坏性的海啸,夏威夷海岸线的疏散是不必要的,节省了不必要的疏散费用。2004年12月的印度洋海啸夺走了23.5万人的生命,导致了第二代系统的发展,由于从海底到桌面的双向通信连接,被命名为DART II。这场可怕的海啸的另一个影响是出现了许多被吹捧能够探测深海海啸的技术。基于卫星的技术、基于雷达的技术和基于声学的技术被确定为海啸探测技术。然而,这些技术无法准确、可靠地测量海啸,而且无法在实时预测海啸所需的时间限制内。以压力测量为基础的DART技术作为最经济、最准确的海啸实时预报测量技术占据了上风。到2008年,NOAA已经将原先的DART阵列从6个扩展到39个,分布在太平洋和大西洋。由于美国希望所有国家都能使用这项技术,美国国家海洋和大气管理局授权了这项技术的专利,一家美国私营公司制造了商用DART,该公司目前向外国提供DART技术。同时,NOAA继续对原始设计进行改进,降低了运行成本,提高了可靠性。到2010年,使用DART技术测量了40多起海啸,第三代DART系统已成为可操作的全球阵列的一部分。DART ETD(易于部署)更加经济实惠,不需要大型船舶或高度专业化的船员来部署和维护操作阵列。DART技术的这些新发展为支持标准化全球海啸预警系统的全球DART站网络带来了希望。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
History and future of deep-ocean tsunami measurements
The history of the development of real-time measurements of tsunamis in the deep ocean for the purpose of forecasting coastal tsunami impacts will be presented, with early history to include the various instruments tested to determine IF tsunamis could be measured in the deep ocean. The measurement of pressure changes induced by the tsunami required a high resolution pressure sensor installed on the seafloor, to provide a motionless environment that allowed the ocean to filter out higher frequency ocean waves. Instruments included bourdon tubes and vibrating crystals that rested on the seafloor and used the depth of the ocean as a pressure reference. Once deep ocean measurements were deemed possible, testing and evaluation was used to identify which technology was accurate, affordable, and reliable enough to be used for tsunami forecasting under tsunami warning conditions. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) had completed the research and development, including an operational prototype, by October of 2003, when the technology was transferred to NOAA operations. The first generation Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunamis (DART I) array consisted of six stations strategically located off Alaska, Oregon, and near the equator to detect tsunamis originating in the Chile/Peru area. The original DART array demonstrated its value within four months by measuring a small tsunami originating in Alaska and relaying these data to NOAA's Pacific Tsunami Warning Center in real time. The tsunami data indicated a nondestructive tsunami had been generated and evacuation of Hawaii's coastline was unnecessary, saving the cost of a nonessential evacuation. The December 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, which killed over 235,000 people, led to the development of the second generation system, named DART II because of the two-way communication link from seafloor to desktop. Another impact of this horrific tsunami was the appearance of many technologies that were touted as being able to detect tsunamis in the deep ocean. Satellite-based technologies, radar-based technologies, and acoustic-based technologies were identified as tsunami detection technologies. However, these technologies could not measure tsunamis as accurately, reliably, and within time constraints required to forecast tsunamis in real time. The pressuremeasurement- based DART technology prevailed as the most affordable and accurate technology to measure tsunamis for realtime forecasting. By 2008, NOAA had expanded the original DART array from 6 to 39 stations in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans. Because the U.S. wanted to make this technology available to all nations, NOAA licensed the patents for the technology and a commercial DART was manufactured by a U.S. private company that currently provides DART technology to foreign countries. Meanwhile, NOAA continued to make improvements to the original design, reducing operating costs and improving reliability. By 2010, over 40 tsunamis had been measured using DART technology and the third generation DART system had become a part of the operational global array. The DART ETD (Easy to Deploy) is more affordable and does not require large ships or highly specialized crew to deploy and maintain the operational arrays. These new developments in DART technology hold promise for a global network of DART stations supporting a standardized global tsunami warning system.
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