远东联邦区投资项目对区域社会经济发展的乘数效应估算

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES
V. Chichkanov, L. Belyaevskaya-Plotnik
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引用次数: 0

摘要

远东联邦区正在实施大约2000个投资项目,这些项目已获得融资,耗资约7000亿卢布。这些项目的实施带来的影响包括投产约270家企业,创造4万多个就业岗位。本文旨在开发和测试估算投资项目对区域发展指标动态的乘数效应的工具。采用积分分析法,将选定项目的各种多维特征集合为一个综合指标。因此,编制了投资项目的一般排名,以评估它们对区域发展的综合贡献。排名前三的项目是:1)Inaglinsky采矿和加工厂(经济效益最大,预计地区生产总值增加2520亿卢布);2)东方航天发射场(预计创造4000个新工作岗位);3)库页岛GRES-2(具有商业效应,预计私人投资流入4,320亿卢布)。对远东投资项目在“区域效率-区域社会经济发展”坐标空间中的详细研究使我们能够量化它们对区域社会经济发展的倍增贡献。根据投资项目的排名在远东联邦区的最大项目,预计高定量结果,多向影响区域的社会经济指标的操作。研究结果可用于为重大投资项目制订国家和区域支助方案,以吸引更多的资金,建立一套措施制度,在该区域维持有利的投资环境,并创造必要的基础设施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating the Multiplier Effect of Investment Projects of the Far Eastern Federal District on Regional Socio-Economic Development
Approximately two thousand investment projects, which have already been financed at a cost of about 700 billion roubles, are being implemented in the Far Eastern Federal District. The effects from the implementation of these projects include the commissioning of about 270 enterprises and creation of over 40 thousand jobs. The paper aims to develop and test tools for estimating the multiplier effect of investment projects on the dynamics of regional development indicators. The integral analysis method was used to aggregate various multi-dimensional characteristics of selected projects into one synthetic indicator. As a result, a generalised ranking of investment projects was compiled to assess their combined contribution to regional development. The top-3 projects are: 1) Inaglinsky mining and processing plant (has the greatest economic effect estimated by the expected gross regional product increment of 252 billion roubles); 2) Vostochny Cosmodrome (is expected to create 4,000 new jobs); 3) Sakhalin GRES-2 (has a commercial effect estimated by the expected inflow of private investment in the amount of 432 billion roubles). A detailed study of Far Eastern investment projects in the coordinate space “regional efficiency — regional socio-economic development” allowed us to quantify their multiplicative contribution to socio-economic development of the regions. According to the ranking of investment projects in the Far Eastern Federal District, the largest projects, expected to show high quantitative results, have a multidirectional impact on the socio-economic indicators of the regions of operation. The research results can be used to develop national and regional support programmes for major investment projects to attract additional funding, establish a system of measures for maintaining a favourable investment climate in the region, as well as to create the necessary infrastructure.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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