几种评分系统对急性一氧化碳中毒患者死亡率预测的评价

Doaa M El-Gharbawy, Heba Khalifa
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引用次数: 4

摘要

一氧化碳(CO)被称为无声杀手。在埃及,它是与死亡有关的中毒的最常见原因之一。本研究旨在评估一些评分系统;格拉斯哥昏迷量表(GCS)、急性生理和慢性健康评估II (APACHE II)、简化急性生理评分II (SAPS II)和快速急诊医学评分(REMS)预测急性一氧化碳中毒患者住院死亡率。108例急性一氧化碳中毒患者纳入研究。记录每位患者的社会人口学和毒理学数据。对四种评分体系进行临床检查和计算。患者分为两组;幸存者和非幸存者。采用ROC曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)评价辨别力。本组患者年龄中位数为25.5岁,男性占55.6%,农村占61.1%。所有病例均为意外中毒。在108例患者中;20名患者在医院死亡,88名患者存活。apache2和SAPS 2的AUC最高,REMS次之,GCS次之。GCS评分的AUC显著低于APACHE II、SAPS II和REMS评分;而APACHE II、SAPS和REMS的AUC差异无统计学意义。相对于APACHE II、SAPS II等较为复杂的评分系统,REMS评分系统简单、简便、快速,在预测急性CO中毒住院死亡率方面具有较好的应用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment of Some Scoring Systems in Prediction of Mortality in Acute Carbon Monoxide Poisoned Patients
Carbon monoxide (CO) is known as a silent killer. In Egypt, it is one of the most common causes of death-related poisonings. This study aimed to evaluate some scoring systems; Glasgow coma scale (GCS), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II) and rapid emergency medicine score (REMS) for predicting in-hospital mortality of patients with acute CO poisoning. One hundred and eight acutely CO poisoned patients were included in the study. For each patient, socio-demographic and toxicological data were recorded. Clinical examination and calculation of the four scoring systems were performed. Patients were divided into two groups; survivors and non-survivors. Discrimination was evaluated using ROC curve and calculating the area under the curve (AUC). The current study revealed that median age of the studied patients was 25.5 years, 55.6% were males and 61.1% were from rural areas. All cases were intoxicated accidently. Among the studied 108 patients; 20 patients died in hospital and 88 patients survived. Both APACHE II and SAPS II had the best AUC, followed by REMS then GCS. The AUC of GCS was significantly lower than those of APACHE II, SAPS II and REMS scores; while differences between AUC of APACHE II, SAPS, and REMS were not statistically significant. It could be concluded that REMS is more useful in predicting in-hospital mortality in acute CO poisoning as it is a simple, easy and rapid scoring system rather than more complicated scoring systems such as APACHE II and SAPS II.
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