建设

Peter Caplehorn
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Particularly large increases were recorded for those industries engaged in producing for the war effort. Thus, the index for transportation equipment closed the year at 662 compared with 428 in June and 278 at the beginning of the year. Similarly, the index for electrical machinery reached 238 at the year end—up nearly 100 points from the previous year. The Department's index of the value of inventories held by all durable goods industries rose from 130 to 176 during the year. The second half year also witnessed a tremendous advance in the value of stocks held by producers of nondurables. Large increases in foods, textiles, chemicals, and other nondurables were recorded as it became apparent that shortages were spreading to areas previously affected but little and that the upward pressure on prices was becoming more intense. Altogether, the value of inventories held by producers of nondurables rose more than 800 million dollars during the final quarter of 1941. For the year as a whole the index for nondurables advanced from 111 to 144 [average month, 1939 = 100]. Widespread protective buying coupled with slower advances in manufacturing production have thus strengthened the over-all inventory position of manufacturers. Wide variation exists among different industries, however. For example, the iron and steel and their products group increased shipments during 1941 with little change in inventories. Other industries, unable to expand shipments, continued to increase stocks. Large advances in the shipments of war industries kept their rapidly growing inventories closely in line with previously established patterns. But in the aggregate, the level of stocks with reference to shipments is now considerably higher than in the pattern exhibited prior to June. Retail and wholesale inventories were discussed in some detail in the January issue of the Survey. 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引用次数: 0

摘要

在1941年上半年,这个数字显示了库存和出货量的平行增长。与往年一样,扩大产量需要增加这一时期的库存。但是,到年中,全面库存政策的重点已从维持以前确定的库存运输模式转变为大规模的保护性购买。虽然生产的进一步提高现在依赖于相对缓慢的设施扩建和改造,但库存却以加速的速度堆积起来。此外,这场运动的范围逐渐扩大,直到几乎涵盖了整个生产型经济。耐用品行业继续保持增长势头,去年第四季度创下7亿多美元的纪录,第三季度仅略有减少。特别是那些为战争而生产的工业,增幅特别大。因此,运输设备指数为662,而6月份为428,年初为278。同样,电气机械指数在年底达到238,比上年上升近100点。该部对所有耐用品工业持有的存货价值的指数在这一年中从130上升到176。下半年,非耐用品生产商持有的库存价值也大幅上升。食品、纺织品、化学品和其他非耐用品价格大幅上涨,因为很明显,短缺正蔓延到以前受影响不大的地区,而价格上涨的压力正变得越来越大。在1941年最后一个季度,非耐用品生产商持有的库存价值总共增加了8亿多美元。全年来看,非耐用品指数从111上升至144[1939年平均月值= 100]。广泛的保护性购买加上制造业生产进展缓慢,因此加强了制造商的整体库存状况。然而,不同行业之间存在很大差异。例如,钢铁及其产品部门在1941年增加了发货量,而库存几乎没有变化。其他无法扩大发货量的行业则继续增加库存。军事工业的大量出货使其快速增长的库存与先前建立的模式密切相关。但总的来说,与发货量相比,目前的库存水平比6月之前的水平要高得多。1月份的调查报告详细讨论了零售和批发库存情况。从那以后,商务部对独立零售商店进行的年终普查显示,1941年12月31日,34个州的8000多家商店报告的总库存比一年前增加了21%。上涨幅度从药店的8%到家具、家居和收音机集团的30%不等。五金店、木材和建筑材料等需求特别旺盛的大宗商品交易商增加库存的幅度远低于平均水平。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Construction
During the first half of 1941 a parallel growth of inventories and shipments is revealed by the figure. Expanding output called for larger stocks in this period as in previous years. By the middle of the year, however, the emphasis in over-all inventory policy had shifted from the maintenance of previously established stock-shipment patterns to protective buying on a large scale. Though further advance in production had now become dependent upon the relatively slow expansion and conversion of facilities, inventories piled up at an accelerated rate. Moreover, the scope of the movement gradually broadened until it embraced almost the entire producing economy. Durable goods industries continued to pace the rise with record accumulations of more than 700 million dollars in the final quarter and only slightly less in the third quarter of the year. Particularly large increases were recorded for those industries engaged in producing for the war effort. Thus, the index for transportation equipment closed the year at 662 compared with 428 in June and 278 at the beginning of the year. Similarly, the index for electrical machinery reached 238 at the year end—up nearly 100 points from the previous year. The Department's index of the value of inventories held by all durable goods industries rose from 130 to 176 during the year. The second half year also witnessed a tremendous advance in the value of stocks held by producers of nondurables. Large increases in foods, textiles, chemicals, and other nondurables were recorded as it became apparent that shortages were spreading to areas previously affected but little and that the upward pressure on prices was becoming more intense. Altogether, the value of inventories held by producers of nondurables rose more than 800 million dollars during the final quarter of 1941. For the year as a whole the index for nondurables advanced from 111 to 144 [average month, 1939 = 100]. Widespread protective buying coupled with slower advances in manufacturing production have thus strengthened the over-all inventory position of manufacturers. Wide variation exists among different industries, however. For example, the iron and steel and their products group increased shipments during 1941 with little change in inventories. Other industries, unable to expand shipments, continued to increase stocks. Large advances in the shipments of war industries kept their rapidly growing inventories closely in line with previously established patterns. But in the aggregate, the level of stocks with reference to shipments is now considerably higher than in the pattern exhibited prior to June. Retail and wholesale inventories were discussed in some detail in the January issue of the Survey. Since then, the year-end census of independent retail stores conducted by the Department of Commerce has shown that total stocks reported by more than 8,000 stores in 34 States were 21 percent higher on December 31, 1941, than they were one year ago. Increases ranged from 8 percent in drug stores to 30 percent in the furniture, household, and radio group. Dealers in commodities for which demand has been particularly heavy such as hardware stores, and lumber and building materials made much less than average additions to stocks.
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