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引用次数: 0
摘要
在过去十年进行的环境灾害研究中,越来越多地注意到多重危害。多灾害研究关注的是同一地区几种自然灾害的发生、相互作用和影响。尽管多灾害研究越来越多,但很少有研究关注全球范围的多灾害事件。为了缩小这一差距,我们的研究侧重于确定更新世最后150万年的时期,其中自然灾害(例如小行星撞击和火山爆发指数(VEI)分别为8和7的大型火山爆发)的准平行出现放大了它们的个体影响,从而导致长期的全球尺度变化。在确定的7个潜在多灾害事件中,3个被认为可能是具有长期环境(古气候)影响的全球规模事件;其年代分别为公元1.4 Ma(海洋同位素阶段- MIS45)、1.0 Ma (MIS 27)和100 ka (MIS 5c)。另外两个时期(约50 ka和20 ka)被确定为与更有限规模的多灾害事件有关,这可能导致更新世历史上的“小冰河期”气候事件。此外,我们还提出了一个复杂的气候响应假设,该假设是由一系列小行星撞击和火山喷发组成的全球性多灾变事件与地磁极性变化有关,即Matuyama-Brunhes边界,该边界可能伴随着全球变冷,导致中更新世早期过渡的最后一步。
Searching for potential multi-hazard events during the last 1.5 million years of the Pleistocene epoch
Increasing attention has been paid to multi-hazards in environmental disaster studies produced during the last decade. Multi-hazard studies focus on the occurrence, interaction and effect of several natural hazards in the same region. Despite the increasing number of multi-hazard studies, few investigations have focused on global-scale multi-hazard events. With the aim of closing this gap, our study focuses on the identification of periods during the last 1.5 million years of the Pleistocene epoch, with the quasi-parallel appearance of natural hazards (e.g., asteroid impacts and large volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 8 and 7) amplifying their individual effects and thus causing long-term, global-scale changes. Of the seven identified potential multi-hazard events, three were considered as possible global-scale events with a longer term environmental (paleoclimatic) impact; dated to c.a., 1.4 Ma (marine isotope stage – MIS45), 1.0 Ma (MIS 27), and 100 ka (MIS 5c), respectively. Two additional periods (around 50 and 20 ka) were identified as being associated with more restricted scale multi-hazard events, which might cause a “Little Ice Age-like” climatic episode in the history of the Pleistocene Period. In addition, we present a hypothesis about the complex climatic response to a global-scale multi-hazard event consisting of a series of asteroid impacts and volcanic eruption linked to a geomagnetic polarity change, namely the Matuyama-Brunhes Boundary, which might be accompanied by global cooling and result in the final step of the Early Middle Pleistocene Transition.