承诺与灵活性和粘性价格:来自人寿保险的证据

Radoslaw Paluszynski, Cheng Yu Pei
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引用次数: 0

摘要

寿险保费数据显示出明显的刚性,平均每3年调整一次,幅度超过10%。这与潜在的边际成本形成对比,后者由于利率和死亡率的变动而表现出相当大的波动性。我们建立了一个动态模型,其中投保人受到长期保险合同的支持,导致公司出现时间不一致的问题。最优合同平衡承诺和灵活性,并采取简单的截止规则的形式:保费是刚性的成本实现小于阈值,而调整必须很大,只有当成本实现超过它时才有可能。我们使用了模型的校准版本,以表明它与数据相匹配,并捕获了横截面和随时间变化的优质刚度的几个方面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Commitment Versus Flexibility and Sticky Prices: Evidence from Life Insurance
Life insurance premiums display significant rigidity in the data, on average adjusting once every 3 years by more than 10%. This contrasts with the underlying marginal cost which exhibits considerable volatility due to the movements in interest and mortality rates. We build a dynamic model where policyholders are held-up by long-term insurance contracts, resulting in a time inconsistency problem for the firms. The optimal contract balances commitment and flexibility and takes the form of a simple cutoff rule: premiums are rigid for cost realizations smaller than the threshold, while adjustments must be large and are only possible when cost realizations exceed it. We use a calibrated version of the model to show that it matches the data and captures several aspects of premium rigidity in the cross-section and over time.
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