开发用于暴露和风险解释的多重灾害景观:PRISM 方法。

Q3 Engineering
Kyle D Buck, J Kevin Summers, Stephen Hafner, Lisa M Smith, Linda C Harwell
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引用次数: 0

摘要

长期以来,多重危害风险评估一直以小规模需求为中心,即对单个社区或社区群体的风险进行评估,以确定潜在的减灾战略。虽然这种方法加深了人们对灾害相互作用的理解,但在规模较大或存在明显不同的灾害类型时,这种方法就会受到限制。为了解决其中的一些问题,我们开发了一种方法,将多种危害与损失合并成一个指数,代表风险状况。风险按占地面积的比例进行评估,这样就可以在一次计算中将多种危害结合起来。风险计算按每个县的土地利用类型(建筑、双重效益、自然)进行加权。这样可以对土地影响进行更详细的分析,并消除城市化程度高的县的货币损失所带来的一些偏差。定量分析的结果显示,自然系统面临的风险很高,美国西部面临着大部分风险。土地利用和时间剖面体现了动态风险景观。计算风险的目的是根据该地区随着时间推移而发生的一系列独特的危害,为社区决策提供依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Development of a Multi-Hazard Landscape for Exposure and Risk Interpretation: The PRISM Approach.

Multi-hazard risk assessment has long been centered on small scale needs, whereby a single community or group of communities' exposures are assessed to determine potential mitigation strategies. While this approach has advanced the understanding of hazard interactions, it is limiting on larger scales or when significantly different hazard types are present. In order to address some of these issues, an approach is developed where multiple hazards coalesce with losses into an index representing the risk landscape. Exposures are assessed as a proportion of land-area, allowing for multiple hazards to be combined in a single calculation. Risk calculations are weighted by land-use types (built, dual-benefit, natural) in each county. This allows for a more detailed analysis of land impacts and removes some of the bias introduced by monetary losses in heavily urbanized counties. The results of the quantitative analysis show a landscape where the risk to natural systems is high and the western United States is exposed to a bulk of the risk. Land-use and temporal profiles exemplify a dynamic risk-scape. The calculation of risk is meant to inform community decisions based on the unique set of hazards in that area over time.

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来源期刊
International Journal of Metrology and Quality Engineering
International Journal of Metrology and Quality Engineering Engineering-Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
CiteScore
1.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
8
审稿时长
8 weeks
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