老化海上油田资产寿命延长管理

Joshua Altmann, A. Sherif, R. Nicolson
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球许多海上平台已超过设计寿命,开发有针对性且具有成本效益的方法来重新评估和管理这些设施的寿命延长对运营商来说至关重要。尽管API RP 2SIM和ISO 19901-9等标准为管理单个平台的结构完整性提供了一个很好的框架,但管理大量设施的运营商需要制定策略来监督老化的多学科资产的寿命延长,目标是在保持可接受的风险水平的同时实现回报最大化。本文提出了一种基于系统风险矩阵的方法,利用现有的设计和状态数据、基于资产特定或分组方法的重新评估结果以及现有的检查结果和策略,对海上设施的剩余寿命进行预测性评估。对每个参数的影响进行加权,根据不同的资产类别进行调整,以获取每个学科或系统中最先进的方法,用于预测剩余寿命。该方法能够处理稀疏数据并合并最近或计划的修改。随着时间的推移,由于损坏或退化而增加的故障可能性,以及其他威胁,如过时,通过与时间相关的因素来捕获,以提供对剩余寿命的估计。该方法根据作业者现有的风险承受能力和管理策略,从一个子系统到整个油田,对资产的健康和剩余寿命进行了灵活的评估。这为作业者提供了一个有价值的工具,帮助优化油田的生命周期成本。如果整体风险概况不可接受,那么可以执行高水平的假设分析,并将其合并到风险模型中,以审查随着设施老化减少可能性或后果的措施。这可能包括额外的评估(例如,平台特定的极限强度或主要设备的适合服务评估),织物维护或基于风险的检查计划的变更,负载减少,仪器和控制系统的升级,加强,修改或维修计划的实施,或退役。Advisian已经成功地将这种方法应用于海上和陆上资产。与大多数通常局限于单一学科的寿命延长项目不同,该方法提供了一种灵活的多学科方法,能够将包括上层结构、管道、管道、旋转和静态设备、电气和仪表在内的研究结果纳入整个现场评估。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Asset Life Extension Management of Aging Offshore Fields
With many of the offshore platforms around the globe well past their design life, developing targeted and cost-effective approaches to reassess and manage the life extension of these facilities is critical for operators. Although standards such as API RP 2SIM and ISO 19901-9 provide an excellent framework for management of the structural integrity of individual platforms, operators that manage a significant number of facilities need to develop strategies for overseeing the life extension of a fleet of aging multidiscipline assets, with the objective of maximizing return while maintaining an acceptable level of risk. The paper presents a systematic risk matrix based approach to provide a predictive assessment of the residual lives of the offshore facilities using the available design and condition data, re-assessment results based on asset specific or grouped approaches, and existing inspection results and strategies. Weighting of the influence of each parameter, adapted for different asset classes to capture state-of-the-art approaches within each discipline or system, is used to predicted residual life. This method has the ability to handle sparse data and incorporate recent or planned modifications. The increased likelihood of failure with time due to damage or degradation, as well as other threats such as obsolesce, is captured through time dependent factors to provide an estimate of the residual life. The method used provides a flexible assessment of the health and residual life estimates for assets from a sub-system through to a full field perspective based on the existing risk tolerance and management strategies of the operator. This provides operators with a valuable tool to assist in optimizing the life cycle costs for the field. If the overall risk profile is not acceptable, then high level what-if analyses can be performed and incorporated into the risk model to review likelihood or consequence reducing measures as the facilities age. This may include additional assessments (e.g. platform specific ultimate strength or fitness-for-service assessments of major equipment), changes to fabric maintenance or risk based inspection plans, load reductions, upgrading of instrumentation and control systems, implementation of strengthening, modification or repair programs, or decommissioning. Advisian has successfully applied this approach for both offshore and onshore assets. Unlike most life extension programs which are typically limited to a single discipline, this method provides a flexible multidisciplinary approach with the ability to incorporate findings covering topside structures, pipelines, piping, rotating and static equipment, electrical and instrumentation for a whole of field assessment.
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