侨民汇款对肯尼亚经济发展的影响

Q3 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Fartun Adan Issack, Charles C. Nzai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究旨在确定1988年至2021年居住在国外的肯尼亚人汇款对该国经济增长的影响。该研究特别计算了侨民汇款将如何影响该国1988年至2021年的绝对贫困,以及它们将如何影响国内生产总值(gdp)和国民生产总值(gnp)。方法:由于汇款的随机性,本研究采用误差修正模型进行估计。采用Toda和Yamamoto的修正格兰杰因果检验来检验GDP与汇款之间的关系以及贫困与汇款之间的关系。使用STATA软件进行计量经济估计。研究发现:根据研究,人均汇款对肯尼亚的GDP、GNI和绝对贫困程度有显著影响。研究发现,人均GDP和GNI是人均汇款的格兰杰原因,但绝对贫困和人均汇款都不是绝对贫困的格兰杰原因。对理论、政策和实践的独特贡献:报告建议,为了保证源源不断的汇款流入该国经济,应采取必要措施稳定货币汇率和通货膨胀。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of Diaspora Remittances on Economic Development in Kenya
Purpose: This study intended to establish the effects of remittances from Kenyans residing abroad on the country's economic growth from 1988 to 2021. The study specifically calculated how diaspora remittances would affect the country's absolute poverty from 1988 to 2021, as well as how they would affect gross domestic product and gross national product. Methodology: The study implored the error correction model to conduct the estimation due to the stochastic nature of remittances. The modified Granger causality test by Toda and Yamamoto was applied to examine the connections between GDP and remittances as well as the connections between poverty and remittances. Using STATA software, an econometric estimation was performed. Findings: According to the study, remittances per capita had a significant impact on Kenya's GDP, GNI, and degree of absolute poverty. It was discovered that GDP and GNI per capita were granger causes of remittance per capita, but neither absolute poverty nor remittance per capita were granger caused by absolute poverty. Unique Contribution to Theory, Policy and Practice: The report recommends that, in order to guarantee a steady stream of remittances into the country's economy, essential efforts be taken to stabilize the currency rate and inflation.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies
International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
75
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