开发和模拟摩洛哥covid - 19阶段传播的数学模型

IF 0.5 Q3 MATHEMATICS
H. Alaa, Eddine Alaa Alaa, F. Aqel
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在这项工作中,我们开发了一个新的水库-人(RP)传播网络模型来模拟COVID-19病毒在摩洛哥人群中的潜在传播。我们的模型是原创的,因为它包含的参数依赖于摩洛哥迄今所采用的约束相。在建立了数学模型COVID-19-Morocco之后,我们定义了一个成本函数,以使参数最小化。然后我们使用遗传算法来优化这个函数。我们得到的数值结果证实了我们的模型是稳健的,可以预测摩洛哥病毒的演变。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Development and simulation of a mathematical model to simulate the phase transmissibility ofCOVID19 in Morocco
In this work we develop a new Reservoir-People (RP) transmission network model to simulate the potential transmission of the COVID-19 virus in the population of Morocco. Our model is original in the sense that it contains parameters that depend on the confinement phases that Morocco has adopted so far. After developing the mathematical model COVID-19-Morocco we define a cost function to minimize with respect to the parameters. We then use genetic algorithms to optimize this functional. The numerical results we obtain confirm that our model is robust and can predict the evolution of the virus in Morocco.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
10.00%
发文量
18
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