数据挖掘技术在火电厂发电量预测中的优势

Waleed Hamed Ahmed Eisa, Naomie Bt Salim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文介绍了数据挖掘技术在预测火力发电厂发电量方面的优势,而不是使用热力学定律或发电厂制造商指南的传统方法。本文首先比较了用热力学定律计算的功率和用厂家指南预测的功率与实际产生的功率。然后建立预测模型,利用涡轮进口的可控参数对发电量进行预测。使用单独的测试集评估模型,或者在小集的情况下进行交叉验证。然后将该模型的预测值与实际预测值和其他预测值进行比较,证明数据挖掘工具比传统方法更准确。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Superiority of Data Mining Techniques to Predict the Amount of Power Generated by Thermal Power Plants
This paper presents the superiority of data mining techniques in predicting the amount of power generated by thermal power plants, over the traditional approaches that use thermodynamic laws or the power plant manufacturer’s guides. The paper first compares between amount of power calculated using thermodynamic laws, and the amount of power predicted using manufacturers’ guides with the actual power generated. Then prediction model was built to predict the amount of generated power using the controllable parameters at turbine inlet. Models were evaluated using separate test sets, or cross validation in case of small sets. The values predicted by this model is then compared with actual and other predicted values to prove that data mining tool is most accurate than traditional methods.
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