Susan K. Urahn, S. Bailey, Brandon Brockmyer, A. Davis, Brenna Erford, S. Fehr, L. Gross, Kil Huh, M. Murphy, R. Zahradnik, M. Atwell, Samantha Chao, J. Chapman, K. Dhungana, D. Lim, D. Benderly, Lauren Dickenson, Sarah Leiseca, J. Ratner
{"title":"管理的不确定性。","authors":"Susan K. Urahn, S. Bailey, Brandon Brockmyer, A. Davis, Brenna Erford, S. Fehr, L. Gross, Kil Huh, M. Murphy, R. Zahradnik, M. Atwell, Samantha Chao, J. Chapman, K. Dhungana, D. Lim, D. Benderly, Lauren Dickenson, Sarah Leiseca, J. Ratner","doi":"10.1002/9781118926321.part4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"“The idea that markets can price risk is a difficult one because risk means different things to different people. And risk basically implies prediction. Prediction of the possible future states of the world. I think it’s pretty clear if you go look at the literature on decision analysis and forecasting, prediction is a difficult thing to do,” says Pich, one of the authors of the book 'Managing the Unknown: A New Approach to Managing High Uncertainty and Risk in Projects'.","PeriodicalId":35983,"journal":{"name":"Prescrire International","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"78","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Managing uncertainty.\",\"authors\":\"Susan K. Urahn, S. Bailey, Brandon Brockmyer, A. Davis, Brenna Erford, S. Fehr, L. Gross, Kil Huh, M. Murphy, R. Zahradnik, M. Atwell, Samantha Chao, J. Chapman, K. Dhungana, D. Lim, D. Benderly, Lauren Dickenson, Sarah Leiseca, J. Ratner\",\"doi\":\"10.1002/9781118926321.part4\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"“The idea that markets can price risk is a difficult one because risk means different things to different people. And risk basically implies prediction. Prediction of the possible future states of the world. I think it’s pretty clear if you go look at the literature on decision analysis and forecasting, prediction is a difficult thing to do,” says Pich, one of the authors of the book 'Managing the Unknown: A New Approach to Managing High Uncertainty and Risk in Projects'.\",\"PeriodicalId\":35983,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Prescrire International\",\"volume\":\"39 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-07-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"78\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Prescrire International\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118926321.part4\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"Medicine\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Prescrire International","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118926321.part4","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"Medicine","Score":null,"Total":0}
“The idea that markets can price risk is a difficult one because risk means different things to different people. And risk basically implies prediction. Prediction of the possible future states of the world. I think it’s pretty clear if you go look at the literature on decision analysis and forecasting, prediction is a difficult thing to do,” says Pich, one of the authors of the book 'Managing the Unknown: A New Approach to Managing High Uncertainty and Risk in Projects'.
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号
