数据挖掘在俄罗斯高校管理中的应用

IF 0.4 Q4 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
Mikhail V. Zaboev, V. Khalin, G. Chernova, A. Yurkov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了全面评估管理决策的质量,有必要考虑以数字形式和自然语言表达形式呈现的异构信息。利用数据挖掘技术,包括神经网络聚类和模糊集理论,有效地实现了数据挖掘。本文以俄罗斯高等教育实施最雄心勃勃的5-100项目为例,介绍了我们使用这些方法评估风险和管理决策质量的方法。通过实例,证明了神经网络聚类在评估任何此类大型项目实现目标的可能性方面的便捷性。对用于分析的信息数据库进行聚类,可以客观地选择有资格获得国家补贴的候选大学,并调整项目参与者的组成。另一种智力分析方法——构建一个复杂的模糊推理系统——证实了基于专家对项目的口头评估对项目进行定量评估的可能性。同时,神经网络聚类初步说明了Project 5-100目标的不可达性。使用复杂的模糊推理系统证实了这一说法,通过极低的定量最终评估项目的口头专家意见的基础上。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Data mining in the management of the Russian higher school
For a comprehensive assessment of the management decisions quality, it is necessary to take into account heterogeneous information presented both in numerical form and in natural language expressions. The effective occurs the use of data mining including neural network clustering and fuzzy set theory. The article presents our approach to the use of these methods for evaluating risks and the management decisions quality in Russian higher education on the example of the implementation of the most ambitious Project 5-100 for it. On the example, the expediency of the neural network clustering to assess the possibility of achieving the goals of any such large-scale project has been proved. Clustering the information database used for the analysis, makes it possible to carry out an objective selection of candidate universities-candidates for the right to receive state subsidies, as well as to adjust the composition of the Project participants. Another methods of intellectual analysis – the construction of a complex of fuzzy inference systems, – confirmed the possibility of a quantitative fi evaluating of the project based on the expert verbal estimates of the project. At the same time, the neural network clustering initially illustrated the unattainability of the Project 5-100 goals. The use of a complex of fuzzy inference systems confirmed this statement by the very low quantitative final assessment of the project on the basis of verbal expert opinions.
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CiteScore
0.70
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