对强人的民意授权:1996-2018年土耳其支持行政权力扩大的民意数据

IF 3.7 1区社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

South European Society and Politics Pub Date : 2021-07-03 DOI:10.1080/13608746.2022.2034689

Dean Schafer

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引用次数: 4

摘要

大多数对民主倒退的分析都集中在精英或政党层面。本文采用自底向上的方法。在土耳其，民众对一个强大而不民主的领导人的支持独立于Erdoğan和正义与发展党，但后来在该党的支持下得到巩固。对纵向民意数据的分析显示，2000 - 2001年的经济危机破坏了民主共识，但经济繁荣——远没有恢复对民主的信心——反而加强了对强人领导人的支持，使其成为自由民主的替代方案，而这些人在经济上受益最多:中产阶级和经济精英。此外，强烈认同政治上占主导地位的社会群体的个人倾向于支持不民主的领导人。这一分析提高了我们对民主国家民众对威权领导人的支持的理解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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A Popular Mandate for Strongmen: What Public Opinion Data Reveals About Support for Executive Aggrandizement in Turkey, 1996-2018

ABSTRACT Most analysis of democratic backsliding focuses on the elite or party level. This article takes a bottom-up approach. In Turkey, popular support for a strong, undemocratic leader developed independently of Erdoğan and the AKP, but later consolidated behind the party. Analysis of longitudinal public opinion data reveals that the 2000– 2001 economic crisis undermined the democratic consensus, but that economic prosperity – far from restoring faith in democracy – reinforced support for a strongman leader as an alternative to liberal democracy among populations that benefited the most economically: the middle class and economic elites. Additionally, individuals who identify strongly with politically predominant social groups tend to support undemocratic leaders. This analysis improves our understanding of mass-level support for authoritarian leaders in democracies.

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来源期刊

South European Society and Politics Multiple-

CiteScore

5.80

自引率

21.20%

发文量

期刊介绍： A leading point of reference for scholars of Southern Europe, South European Society and Politics promotes both comparative and inter-disciplinary analyses, as well as offering innovative single county and sub-national studies. The journal acts as a forum for social, economic, cultural, contemporary historical and political approaches to research on the region, and is particularly keen to sponsor policy–focused studies in all these disciplines. The journal publishes research articles; South European Atlas with election reports and articles on other subjects of topical interest, and an extensive book reviews section, including both review articles and individual book reviews.