公司生命周期阶段的分类:捷克共和国的一个汽车工业

IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
J. Slavíčková, Ondřej Slavíček
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引用次数: 0

摘要

公司生命周期模型几十年来一直是研究人员关注的焦点,产生了许多阶段的定义和确定。管理者正在努力在正确的时间做出适当的战略决策,以最大化与各个生命周期阶段相关的机会。评估一个公司的生命周期,确定周期的阶段,可以让我们预测一个公司的未来发展,防止危机,甚至公司的早期终止。近年来,人们对产品生命周期评估的兴趣越来越大。然而,由于企业的生命周期比产品的生命周期长,它仍然绝对值得关注——主要是在定量标准领域。本文的目的是提出定量变量来确定公司的生命周期以下两个要求:(1)变量来源于公开的财务报表;(2)分类方法适用于包括证券交易所非上市公司在内的大样本量。我们的研究表明,我们的三个变量(资本支出,股本回报率和销售增长)适合在以下几个步骤下对每个公司年度进行阶段分类:计算行业五分位数和/或定义边界,为阶段分配分数,设计综合分数和样本选择。基于每个生命周期阶段的描述性统计,可以评估在公司进一步战略方向的背景下使用的变量。为了确定企业在定义阶段的持久性,执行了未来四年的过渡矩阵,结果表明,在绝大多数情况下,处于成长期和成熟期的公司将在这两个阶段持续下去。最后,讨论了本研究的局限性和进一步的研究方向。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CLASSIFICATION OF COMPANY LIFE CYCLE STAGES: AN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Company life cycle models have been the focus of researchers’ attention for decades, resulting in numerous definitions and determination of stages. Managers are striving to make appropriate strategic decisions at the right time to maximize opportunities linked to various life cycle stages. Assessing a company’s life cycle and determining the stage of the cycle allows us to predict a company’s future development and to prevent crises or even the company’s early termination. In recent years, there has been increased interest in the life cycle assessment of products. However, as a corporate life cycle is longer than that of a product, it still definitely deserves attention – mainly in the field of quantitative criteria. The aim of this paper is to propose quantitative variables to determine a company’s life cycle following two requirements: (1) the variables are derived from publicly available financial statements; and (2) the classification method is suitable for a large sample size including non-listed companies in the stock exchange. Our study shows that our three variables (capital expenditures, return on equity, and sales growth) are suitable for stage classification for each firm-year under the condition of following several steps: counting industry quintiles and/or definition of boundaries, score assignment to stages, designing composite score and sample selection. Based on descriptive statistics of each life cycle stage it is possible to assess the variables used in the context of the further strategic direction of the company. To determine the persistence of enterprises in the defined stages, a transition matrix for the four future years was performed, which showed that companies in the growth and maturity stages will be sustained in these two phases in the vast majority of cases. Finally, we discuss the limitations of the study and further research directions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
13.30%
发文量
35
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