中美洲缩小尺度的气候变化情景

Q2 Earth and Planetary Sciences
J. Tamayo, E. Rodríguez‐Camino, Alfonso Hernanz, S. Covaleda
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要2016年12月在伊比利亚-美洲水、气候变化和气象网络之间举行的部门间讲习班确定了中美洲需要缩小规模的气候变化情景。这些情景将由该地区的国家气象和水文部门根据一种共同的方法制定,允许评估气候变化对水资源和极端水文气象事件的影响。该项目得到了西班牙国际和伊比利亚-美洲行政和公共政策基金会在EUROCLIMA+方案框架内的支助。该项目的最后成果之一是安装在中美洲一体化系统水力资源区域委员会管理的Centro Clima网页(https://centroclima.org/escenarios-cambio-climatico/,最后一次访问时间:2022年9月26日)上的免费网页查看器,项目期间产生的所有信息可供不同部门的用户咨询和下载数据。该项目的一个关键要素是整合基于不同方法(动态和统计)的许多缩小规模的预测,总计45种不同的预测,旨在以最佳方式估计来自不同来源的不确定性。另一个重要因素是不同用户部门通过国家讲习班的大力参与,首先在项目开始时确定和定义查看器特征,然后介绍结果并规划优先部门的使用。在该项目的第二阶段,一个由参与的国家气象和水文部门的专家组成的区域工作组将负责观测仪的维护和升级,包括与感兴趣的用户合作开发的新的部门参数,以及与西班牙国家气象局合作计算和添加CMIP6的新的缩小的预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Downscaled climate change scenarios for Central America
Abstract. The intersectoral workshop held in December 2016 among the Ibero-American networks on water, climate change and meteorology, identified the need of downscaled climate change scenarios for Central America. Such scenarios would be developed by National Meteorological and Hydrological Services in the region, based on a common methodology, allowing the assessment of climate change impacts on water resources and extreme hydro-meteorological events. This project was supported by the International and Ibero-American Foundation for Administration and Public Policies of Spain in the framework of the EUROCLIMA+ programme. One final outcome of the project has been a freely accessible web viewer, installed on the Centro Clima webpage (https://centroclima.org/escenarios-cambio-climatico/, last access: 26 September 2022), managed by the Regional Committee on Hydraulic Resources of the Central American Integration System, where all information generated during the project is available for consultation and data downloading by the different sectors of users. A key element in this project has been to integrate many downscaled projections based on different methods (dynamical and statistical), totalizing 45 different projections, and aiming at estimating the uncertainty coming from different sources in the best possible way. Another essential element has been the strong involvement of the different user sectors through national workshops, first, at the beginning of the project for the identification and definition of viewer features, and then for the presentation of results and planning of its use by prioritized sectors. In a second phase of the project, a regional working group made up of experts from the participating National Meteorological and Hydrological Services will be in charge of viewer maintenance and upgrade, including new sectoral parameters, developed in collaboration with interested users, and computation and addition of new downscaled projections from CMIP6 in collaboration with the State Meteorological Agency of Spain.
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来源期刊
Advances in Science and Research
Advances in Science and Research Earth and Planetary Sciences-Geophysics
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
13
审稿时长
22 weeks
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