拥挤的红海

IF 1.5 3区社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Survival Pub Date : 2023-01-02 DOI:10.1080/00396338.2023.2172851

Camille Lons, Benjamin Petrini

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引用次数: 0

摘要

考虑到全球12%的海运贸易、40%的欧洲与亚洲和中东的贸易以及8%的海上碳氢化合物运输都要经过红海，红海地区成为大国和地区大国更加明确的战略重点并不奇怪。然而，该地区长期不发达且冲突不断。伊朗、以色列和海湾合作委员会(Gulf Cooperation Council)成员国之间的竞争重叠，有加剧地区不和的风险。美国已经优先考虑增强其地区伙伴的权力，加强新兴的以色列-海湾安全协同效应，以对抗伊朗的活动，并遏制中国，中国已成为该地区的关键经济参与者，并于2017年在吉布提开设了第一个海外军事基地。然而，鉴于美国和地区关切之间的潜在分歧，美国和地区的参与似乎都不太可能稳定该地区。

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The Crowded Red Sea

Abstract It is unsurprising that the Red Sea region has come into sharper strategic focus for great powers as well as regional powers, given that 12% of global seaborne trade, 40% of Europe’s trade with Asia and the Middle East, and 8% of seaborne hydrocarbons pass through the Red Sea. Yet the region is chronically underdeveloped and conflict-ridden. Overlapping rivalries involving Iran, Israel and the Gulf Cooperation Council countries pose risks of intensifying regional discord. The United States has prioritised empowering its regional partners and strengthening emerging Israel–Gulf security synergies to counteract Iran’s activities and check China, which has become a key economic actor in the region and opened its first overseas military base, in Djibouti, in 2017. Given the potential divergence between American and regional concerns, however, neither US nor regional involvement appears likely to stabilise the region.

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来源期刊

Survival Multiple-

CiteScore

2.10

自引率

16.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： Survival, the Institute"s bi-monthly journal, is a leading forum for analysis and debate of international and strategic affairs. With a diverse range of authors, thoughtful reviews and review essays, Survival is scholarly in depth while vivid, well-written and policy-relevant in approach. Shaped by its editors to be both timely and forward-thinking, the journal encourages writers to challenge conventional wisdom and bring fresh, often controversial, perspectives to bear on the strategic issues of the moment. Survival is essential reading for practitioners, analysts, teachers and followers of international affairs. Each issue also contains Book Reviews of the most important recent publications on international politics and security.