《国际房地产评论》

IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS
Yun W. Park, Doowon Bang
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引用次数: 115

摘要

我们研究了一个独特的韩国数据集,即国民银行公寓价格指数,该指数基于经纪人的评估,以阐明经纪人如何确定房地产周期的估值。利用从2006年开始公开的交易数据,制作了重复销售公寓价格指数和享乐公寓价格指数,并与国民银行公寓价格指数进行比较。通过分析经纪人评价的波动性和经纪人评价的局部调整模型,我们发现经纪人评价是平滑的。此外,平滑是不对称的,在下跌市场比上涨市场更大。这些发现与经纪人利用信息质量作为权重来扣押新交易价格的假设是一致的。平滑经纪人评估中的平滑和不对称程度在随后的两个周期中持续存在,这与预期相反,随着交易价格变得更加广泛传播,它们将对交易价格变得更加敏感。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
International Real Estate Review
We examine a unique Korean data set, the Kookmin Bank apartment price index, which is based on broker appraisals, in order to shed light on how brokers determine valuation over real estate cycles. We build a repeat sales apartment price index as well as a hedonic apartment price index by using the transaction data, which have become available in the public domain since 2006, and compare them with the Kookmin Bank apartment price index. By examining the volatility in the broker appraisals as well as the partial adjustment models of broker appraisals, we find that the appraisals are smoothed. Furthermore, the smoothing is asymmetrical and greater during down markets than up markets. These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that brokers impound new transaction prices by using the quality of information as weight. The extent of smoothing and asymmetry in smoothing broker appraisals persist over two subsequent cycles contrary to the expectation that they would become more sensitive to transaction prices as transaction prices become more widely spread.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
14.30%
发文量
10
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