{"title":"PD与LGD相关的双因素模型","authors":"J. Witzany","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1476305","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The paper proposes a two systematic factor model to capture a retail portfolio probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) parameters, in particular their mutual correlation. We argue that the standard one factor models standing behind the Basel II formula and used by a number of studies cannot capture well the correlation between PD and LGD on a large (asymptotic) portfolio. The proposed model is implemented on real banking data giving an estimate of a positive PD and LGD correlation implied by the model slightly above 10%.","PeriodicalId":47599,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Finance","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2000,"publicationDate":"2011-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"21","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A Two-Factor Model for PD and LGD Correlation\",\"authors\":\"J. Witzany\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.1476305\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The paper proposes a two systematic factor model to capture a retail portfolio probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) parameters, in particular their mutual correlation. We argue that the standard one factor models standing behind the Basel II formula and used by a number of studies cannot capture well the correlation between PD and LGD on a large (asymptotic) portfolio. The proposed model is implemented on real banking data giving an estimate of a positive PD and LGD correlation implied by the model slightly above 10%.\",\"PeriodicalId\":47599,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"European Journal of Finance\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2011-02-07\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"21\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"European Journal of Finance\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1476305\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"European Journal of Finance","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1476305","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
The paper proposes a two systematic factor model to capture a retail portfolio probability of default (PD) and loss given default (LGD) parameters, in particular their mutual correlation. We argue that the standard one factor models standing behind the Basel II formula and used by a number of studies cannot capture well the correlation between PD and LGD on a large (asymptotic) portfolio. The proposed model is implemented on real banking data giving an estimate of a positive PD and LGD correlation implied by the model slightly above 10%.
期刊介绍:
The European Journal of Finance publishes a full range of research into theoretical and empirical topics in finance. The emphasis is on issues that reflect European interests and concerns. The journal aims to publish work that is motivated by significant issues in the theory or practice of finance. The journal promotes communication between finance academics and practitioners by providing a vehicle for the publication of research into European issues, stimulating research in finance within Europe, encouraging the international exchange of ideas, theories and the practical application of methodologies and playing a positive role in the development of the infrastructure for finance research.