哈科特港木薯和玉米产量对不同空间尺度降雨和温度情景的响应

Orimoloye Israel Rop, A. Ib
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引用次数: 14

摘要

背景与目的:气候变化对粮食不安全地区的作物生产力构成严重威胁。人们对一些气候参数对撒哈拉以南非洲农业的影响以及协助适应这些变化的最有效努力有着广泛的兴趣,但评估生产风险和确定某些特定气候变量优先次序的科学基础相当有限。本研究评估了2005-2009年5年间温度和降雨对哈科特港两种主要作物(木薯和玉米)产量的影响。材料和方法:该研究使用的温度和降雨量来自尼日利亚气象局位于拉各斯的档案,木薯和玉米的作物产量数据来自农业发展项目Port Harcourt,采用统计相关分析。结果:研究发现,温度与木薯和玉米的产量都呈负相关,因此,随着温度的降低,木薯和玉米的产量都增加,这意味着最低温度对哈科特港木薯和玉米的生长起着显著的作用。而降雨量对两种作物产量的影响均为中等,表明高降雨量可能对作物产量产生负面影响。结论:作物产量对最高高温的响应可能对研究区农业生产产生不利影响,可能导致研究区粮食短缺、饥饿和粮食不安全。该研究揭示了温度和降雨对研究区木薯和玉米产量的显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Response of Cassava and Maize Yield to Varying Spatial Scales of Rainfall and Temperature Scenarios in Port Harcourt
Background and Objective: Climate change is a serious threat to crop productivity in regions that are already food insecure. There is broad interest in the impacts of some climate parameters on agriculture in Sub-Saharan Africa and on the most effective efforts to assist adaptation to these changes, yet the scientific basis for evaluating production risks and prioritizing some specific climate variables have been quite limited. This study assessed the impacts of temperature and rainfall on the yield of two major crops (cassava and maize) in Port Harcourt for the period of 2005-2009 spanning 5 years. Materials and Methods: Temperature and rainfall used for the study were sourced from the archive of the Nigerian Meteorological Agency, Lagos and crop yield data of cassava and maize sourced from the agricultural development programme Port Harcourt using statistical correlation analysis. Results: The study revealed that the temperature has a negative relationship with the yield of both cassava and maize, therefore, indicating that as temperature decreases, the yield of both cassava and maize increases, which means that the minimum temperature plays a significant role in the growth of cassava and maize in Port Harcourt. While rainfall has a moderate influence on the yield of both crops, indicating that high rainfall amount may have a negative impact on the crop yields. Conclusion: The response of crop yields to maximum high temperature might have an adverse effect on agricultural production in the study area, which is not good as it may lead to the shortage of food, hunger and food insecurity in the study area. The study provides insight into the significant impacts of the temperature and rainfall on cassava and maize yield in the study area.
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