新冠肺炎疫情期间泰国小微企业生存分析

IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting
Supanika Leurcharusmee, Paravee Maneejuk, W. Yamaka, Nalitra Thaiprasert, Nathapong Tuntichiranon
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引用次数: 1

摘要

微型和小型企业(MSEs)对当地经济很重要,是泰国最重要的就业来源。利用三轮调查数据,我们评估了2019冠状病毒病对旅游业和制造业中小微企业生存概率的影响。企业特征,如业主特征,就业和商业战略,作为潜在因素来减轻或刺激企业失败进行检查。采用Cox比例风险模型和Kaplan-Meier估计。我们的研究结果表明,三轮调查的生存概率路径显示,从采访的第一周开始,生存概率逐渐下降,大约50%的中小企业在COVID-19大流行期间无法存活超过52周。我们还发现,中小微企业的生存主要取决于地理位置、员工数量和商业模式调整,即社交距离运营和网络营销。特别是,留住员工和不减少工作时间是提高中小微企业生存能力的关键因素之一。然而,危机持续的时间越长,这些关键因素的作用就越小。新冠肺炎大流行持续时间越长,中小微企业生存几率越低。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SURVIVAL ANALYSIS OF THAI MICRO AND SMALL ENTERPRISES DURING THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC
Micro and small enterprises (MSEs) are important to the local economy and are the most crucial source of employment in Thailand. Using the three-round survey data, we assess the impact of COVID-19 on the survival probability of MSEs in the tourism and manufacturing sectors. Enterprise characteristics such as owner characteristics, employment and business strategies are examined as potential factors to mitigate or stimulate business failures. The Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan–Meier estimator are employed. Our findings reveal that the survival probability paths from the three rounds of survey show a gradual decrease of survival probability from the first week of interview and approximately 50% of MSEs could not survive longer than 52 weeks during the COVID-19 pandemic. We also find that the survival of MSEs mainly depends on location, number of employees, and business model adjustment, namely operation with social distancing and online marketing. Particularly, retaining employees and not reducing the working hours are one of the key factors increasing the survivability of MSEs. However, the longer length of the crisis reduces the contribution of these key factors. The longer the period of the COVID-19 pandemic, the lower the chance of MSEs survivability.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
3.80%
发文量
48
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business Economics and Management is a peer-reviewed journal which publishes original research papers. The objective of the journal is to provide insights into business and strategic management issues through the publication of high quality research from around the world. We particularly focus on research undertaken in Western Europe but welcome perspectives from other regions of the world that enhance our knowledge in this area. The journal publishes in the following areas of research: Global Business Transition Issues Economic Growth and Development Economics of Organizations and Industries Finance and Investment Strategic Management Marketing Innovations Public Administration.
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