应用GRA评价地方市政道路安全:黑山案例研究

Q3 Engineering
Mirjana Grdinić-Rakonjac, V. Pajković
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引用次数: 4

摘要

道路安全评价是道路安全管理的核心,要预防交通事故,了解造成交通事故的因素是必不可少的。目前,道路安全专家对寻找一种公平的方法来评估和比较不同地区的道路安全状况表现出极大的兴趣。以前,对情况的评估和比较是根据交通事故后果的大小,但最近,道路安全专家转向观察和比较安全指标,认为这是一种更人道的办法,因为这样可以在事故发生之前的早期阶段看到关键方面。随着时间的推移,已经发展出一种用综合指数描述道路安全情况的方法,其中汇总了大量指标。综合交通安全指数是评估安全状况的有用工具,它提供了不同地区之间的比较、监测和交流,并确定了需要改进的系统要素。指数构建方法的发展至今仍在继续。上述过程的主要步骤是选择一套相关指标并确定每一指标的影响。本文根据最终结果、道路使用者行为和基本地域信息,对10个等级道路安全指标进行灰色关联分析加权,并进行汇总,计算出黑山21个城市的综合指数得分。灰色关联分析可以衡量指标之间的相对重要性,即灰权值高的指标比灰权值低的指标更重要。然而,不能说权重最高的指标对事故发生的影响最大,但它肯定表明了一个可以采取策略提高道路安全水平的领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluating the road safety of local municipalities with application of GRA: Montenegro case study
Evaluation of road safety is the core of road safety management, and to prevent traffic accidents, an understanding of the factors that cause them is essential. Currently, road safety experts show great interest in finding one fair approach to evaluate and compare road safety situations in different territories. Previously, the assessment of the situation and comparisons were based on the size of the consequences in traffic accidents but recently, the road safety experts turned to observing and comparing safety indicators as a more humane approach, given that in this way critical aspects can be seen at an early stage and before accidents occur. Over time, an approach of describing the road safety situation with a composite index has been developed in which a large number of indicators have been aggregated. The composite traffic safety index is a useful tool in assessing the safety situation that provides comparison, monitoring and communication between different territories and defines the elements of the system that need to be improved. The methodological development of the index construction continues today. The main steps of the mentioned process are the selection of the relevant set of indicators and determining the influence of each of them. In this paper, a set of ten hierarchical road safety indicators in terms of final outcomes, the road users’ behavior and basic territory information are weighted with grey relational analysis and aggregated in order to calculate one composite index score of 21 municipalities of Montenegro. Grey relational analysis can measure the relative importance among indicators, implying that those with higher grey weight values are more significant than those with lower grey weights. However, it cannot be claimed that indicator with the highest weight has the greatest impact on accidents occurrence, but it certainly indicates a field where strategies can be adopted to improve level of road safety.
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来源期刊
Transactions on Transport Sciences
Transactions on Transport Sciences Environmental Science-Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
1.40
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审稿时长
13 weeks
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