{"title":"公司股息的计量经济模型可以用来识别被低估的股票","authors":"G. Bulkley, N. Taylor","doi":"10.1111/J.1467-9957.1995.TB01451.X","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The authors estimate a price-conditional vector autoregression for individual company dividends and this is used to forecast future dividends. Stocks are then ranked by the ratio of their current price relative to future dividend forecasts. This ranking is shown to forecast returns, using cross-section return regressions, even after controlling for conventional measures of risk. Copyright 1995 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester","PeriodicalId":83172,"journal":{"name":"The Manchester school of economic and social studies","volume":"95 1","pages":"103-111"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2010-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Econometric Models of Company Dividends Can Be Used to Identify Underpriced Shares\",\"authors\":\"G. Bulkley, N. Taylor\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/J.1467-9957.1995.TB01451.X\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The authors estimate a price-conditional vector autoregression for individual company dividends and this is used to forecast future dividends. Stocks are then ranked by the ratio of their current price relative to future dividend forecasts. This ranking is shown to forecast returns, using cross-section return regressions, even after controlling for conventional measures of risk. Copyright 1995 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester\",\"PeriodicalId\":83172,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"The Manchester school of economic and social studies\",\"volume\":\"95 1\",\"pages\":\"103-111\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2010-09-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"The Manchester school of economic and social studies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1467-9957.1995.TB01451.X\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The Manchester school of economic and social studies","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1467-9957.1995.TB01451.X","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Econometric Models of Company Dividends Can Be Used to Identify Underpriced Shares
The authors estimate a price-conditional vector autoregression for individual company dividends and this is used to forecast future dividends. Stocks are then ranked by the ratio of their current price relative to future dividend forecasts. This ranking is shown to forecast returns, using cross-section return regressions, even after controlling for conventional measures of risk. Copyright 1995 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester