公司股息的计量经济模型可以用来识别被低估的股票

G. Bulkley, N. Taylor
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引用次数: 0

摘要

作者估计了个别公司股息的价格条件向量自回归,并用于预测未来的股息。然后根据股票当前价格相对于未来股息预测的比率对股票进行排名。即使在控制了传统的风险度量之后,该排名也显示出使用截面回报回归来预测回报。版权归布莱克威尔出版有限公司和曼彻斯特维多利亚大学1995
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Econometric Models of Company Dividends Can Be Used to Identify Underpriced Shares
The authors estimate a price-conditional vector autoregression for individual company dividends and this is used to forecast future dividends. Stocks are then ranked by the ratio of their current price relative to future dividend forecasts. This ranking is shown to forecast returns, using cross-section return regressions, even after controlling for conventional measures of risk. Copyright 1995 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester
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