失业保险福利对(自主)就业的影响:一枚硬币的两面?

Josef Hollmayr, Jan Kuckuck
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管有相当比例的公司是在失业的情况下创建的,目前欧洲积极的劳动力市场政策经常补贴失业的个人创业,但人们对失业保险(UI)慷慨对自营职业的作用知之甚少。通过使用西班牙行政数据,包括以前无法获得的关于自营职业的信息,我们利用改革驱动的失业救济金的外生削减来确定其对一般就业的因果影响,并将其分解为对自营职业和再就业的影响。利用2012年西班牙劳动力市场改革导致的失业保险福利计划的不连续性,我们估计了改革对(自我)就业的广泛边际和失业持续时间的因果影响。我们发现了外延边际的异质性效应:当求职率上升时,创业率下降。在不同的时间范围内,对自营职业的负面影响(35-50%)超过对就业的积极影响(5-33%)。我们的失业救济金持续时间弹性估计表明,减少失业救济金延长了个体过渡到自营职业的失业持续时间,但缩短了个体重新就业的失业时间。由于改革对个体经营产生了意想不到的影响,其对总体就业的影响远小于只关注就业的分析所宣称的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Unemployment Insurance Benefits on (Self-)Employment: Two Sides of the Same Coin?
Although a meaningful percentage of firms are created out of unemployment and current active labor market policies in Europe often subsidize unemployed individuals to start their own businesses, little is known about the role of unemployment insurance (UI) generosity for selfemployment. By using Spanish administrative data including previously unavailable information on self-employment, we exploit a reform-driven exogenous cut in UI benefits to identify its causal effect on general employment and decompose it into the effects on self-employment and re-employment. Exploiting a discontinuity in the UI benefit schedule which changed as a result of the 2012 Spanish labor market reform, we estimate the causal reform effects on the extensive margin of (self-)employment and on unemployment duration. We find heterogeneous effects on the extensive margin: while the job-finding rate increases, the startup rate decreases. Over different time horizons, the negative effect on self-employment (35-50%) outweighs the positive effect on employment (5-33%). Our UI benefit duration elasticity estimates indicate that reduced UI benefits extend unemployment duration for individuals transitioning into self-employment but shorten unemployment for individuals finding re-employment. Due to the reform's unintended consequences for self-employment, its general employment effect is much smaller than claimed by analyses that focus only on employment.
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