{"title":"有限混合模型的鲁棒估计","authors":"Alexandre Lecestre","doi":"10.1051/ps/2023004","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We observe a n-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness properties with respect to a possible misspecification\nof it. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound for the Hellinger distance between the target distribution and its estimator when the model consists of a mixture of densities that belong to VC-subgraph classes. Under suitable assumptions and when the mixture model is well-specified, we derive risk bounds for the parameters of the mixture. Finally, we design a statistical procedure that allows us to select from the data the number of components as well as suitable models for each of the densities that are involved in the mixture. These models are chosen among a collection of candidate ones and we show that our selection rule combined with our estimation strategy result in an estimator which satisfies an oracle-type inequality.","PeriodicalId":51249,"journal":{"name":"Esaim-Probability and Statistics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2021-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Robust estimation in finite mixture models\",\"authors\":\"Alexandre Lecestre\",\"doi\":\"10.1051/ps/2023004\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We observe a n-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness properties with respect to a possible misspecification\\nof it. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound for the Hellinger distance between the target distribution and its estimator when the model consists of a mixture of densities that belong to VC-subgraph classes. Under suitable assumptions and when the mixture model is well-specified, we derive risk bounds for the parameters of the mixture. Finally, we design a statistical procedure that allows us to select from the data the number of components as well as suitable models for each of the densities that are involved in the mixture. These models are chosen among a collection of candidate ones and we show that our selection rule combined with our estimation strategy result in an estimator which satisfies an oracle-type inequality.\",\"PeriodicalId\":51249,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Esaim-Probability and Statistics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Esaim-Probability and Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1051/ps/2023004\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Esaim-Probability and Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1051/ps/2023004","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
We observe a n-sample, the distribution of which is assumed to belong, or at least to be close enough, to a given mixture model. We propose an estimator of this distribution that belongs to our model and possesses some robustness properties with respect to a possible misspecification
of it. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound for the Hellinger distance between the target distribution and its estimator when the model consists of a mixture of densities that belong to VC-subgraph classes. Under suitable assumptions and when the mixture model is well-specified, we derive risk bounds for the parameters of the mixture. Finally, we design a statistical procedure that allows us to select from the data the number of components as well as suitable models for each of the densities that are involved in the mixture. These models are chosen among a collection of candidate ones and we show that our selection rule combined with our estimation strategy result in an estimator which satisfies an oracle-type inequality.
期刊介绍:
The journal publishes original research and survey papers in the area of Probability and Statistics. It covers theoretical and practical aspects, in any field of these domains.
Of particular interest are methodological developments with application in other scientific areas, for example Biology and Genetics, Information Theory, Finance, Bioinformatics, Random structures and Random graphs, Econometrics, Physics.
Long papers are very welcome.
Indeed, we intend to develop the journal in the direction of applications and to open it to various fields where random mathematical modelling is important. In particular we will call (survey) papers in these areas, in order to make the random community aware of important problems of both theoretical and practical interest. We all know that many recent fascinating developments in Probability and Statistics are coming from "the outside" and we think that ESAIM: P&S should be a good entry point for such exchanges. Of course this does not mean that the journal will be only devoted to practical aspects.