{"title":"能源研发评价框架","authors":"George S. Tolley, Gideon Fishelson, S. Tiwari","doi":"10.1016/0165-0572(90)90011-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article develops a benefit/cost framework for energy R&D projects. Two basic elements are probability of success and market penetration, which are combined to yield a measure of net-benefits to a project. An example is given demonstrating the technique. The article goes on to describe how the technique is used when there is a portfolio of projects, where the outcome of a project affects one or more other projects. Finally, the article outlines decision rules for undertaking projects in a portfolio.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101080,"journal":{"name":"Resources and Energy","volume":"11 2","pages":"Pages 145-158"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1990-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0165-0572(90)90011-7","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A framework for the appraisal of energy R&D\",\"authors\":\"George S. Tolley, Gideon Fishelson, S. Tiwari\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/0165-0572(90)90011-7\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This article develops a benefit/cost framework for energy R&D projects. Two basic elements are probability of success and market penetration, which are combined to yield a measure of net-benefits to a project. An example is given demonstrating the technique. The article goes on to describe how the technique is used when there is a portfolio of projects, where the outcome of a project affects one or more other projects. Finally, the article outlines decision rules for undertaking projects in a portfolio.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":101080,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Resources and Energy\",\"volume\":\"11 2\",\"pages\":\"Pages 145-158\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1990-02-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0165-0572(90)90011-7\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Resources and Energy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0165057290900117\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Resources and Energy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0165057290900117","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
This article develops a benefit/cost framework for energy R&D projects. Two basic elements are probability of success and market penetration, which are combined to yield a measure of net-benefits to a project. An example is given demonstrating the technique. The article goes on to describe how the technique is used when there is a portfolio of projects, where the outcome of a project affects one or more other projects. Finally, the article outlines decision rules for undertaking projects in a portfolio.
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