世界原油供应:按国家估计供应函数的证据

G.C. Watkins , Shane S. Streifel
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引用次数: 29

摘要

本文估计了41个国家的原油供应函数,以获得这些函数是扩张还是收缩的证据。糟糕的数据质量决定了简单的规范。结果显示,26个国家的供给功能发生了统计上显著的变化——扩张和收缩的比例几乎相等。其他的则没有下降的迹象。结论是,非欧佩克国家的供应前景不容乐观。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
World crude oil supply: Evidence from estimating supply functions by country

This paper estimates crude oil supply functions for 41 countries to garner evidence on whether such functions are expanding or contracting. Poor data quality dictates a simple specification. The results show 26 countries with statistically significant shifts in supply functions—in almost equal parts expansionary and contractionary. Others show no evidence of decline. The conclusion is that a gloomy outlook for non-OPEC supply is not warranted.

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