Understanding the Relationship Between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in BRICS: Panel ARDL Approach

Foreign direct investment (FDI) has gained prominence in international economics over the past three decades. Primarily, the belief that FDI influences economic growth of the host country, set the stage for the empirical research focused on the FDI–growth nexus. The growth literature, however, reveals mixed evidence regarding the role of FDI in promoting growth. Despite the conflicting evidence, developed and developing economies have attached immense economic and political importance to FDI. It is noteworthy that BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) economies are representative developing economies and have emerged as significant FDI destinations, having witnessed an immense surge in inward FDI over the past few decades. It is against this backdrop that the present study attempts to assess the impact of FDI inflows and select macroeconomic variables, namely macroeconomic stability, human capital, financial development and trade openness (TO), on the economic growth of developing BRICS economies. The study examines both short-run and long-run relationships between FDI inflows, select macroeconomic variables and economic growth by employing the dynamic panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, unlike most of the previous studies. For this study, secondary data covering a reference period of 32 years (1987–2018) were used. The data on GDP growth (GDPG), FDI inflows, inflation (INF), human capital, private sector bank credit (proxy for financial development) and TO have been collected from the World Investment Reports published annually by United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and World Bank (World Development Indicators). The findings revealed a long-run cointegration among FDI, host country characteristics (TO, human capital, financial development and macroeconomic stability) and economic growth in BRICS.