斯里兰卡运输部门温室气体减排政策对能源和环境的影响

Gayashika L. Fernando, M. Liyanage, G. N. Samarasekara
{"title":"斯里兰卡运输部门温室气体减排政策对能源和环境的影响","authors":"Gayashika L. Fernando, M. Liyanage, G. N. Samarasekara","doi":"10.23919/ICUE-GESD.2018.8635590","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study analyzes the greenhouse gas mitigation policy options for the transport sector in Sri Lanka. It was carried out through the Asia—Pacific Integrated Assessment Model (AIM/Enduse), which is a bottom up type least cost optimization framework. A business as usual scenario and four alternative mitigation policy options were considered in this study. These policy options include two scenarios with 100 $/tonCO2, 500 $/tonCO2 carbon tax, a subsidy scenario with tax rebates for electric, hybrid vehicles and a scenario which promotes pubic transport. The results show that the transport sector energy consumption is expected to increase from 5 Mtoe in 2015 to 19.5 Mtoe in 2045. The CO2 emissions are expected to increase from 15 Mton in 2015 to 58 Mton in 2045. Out of the four scenarios, promoting public transport was most effective as it could reduce energy consumption by 52% and reduce CO2 emissions by almost 36% in 2045. At current electricity prices and other costs, electric vehicles are not found to be economical in the analysis.","PeriodicalId":6584,"journal":{"name":"2018 International Conference and Utility Exhibition on Green Energy for Sustainable Development (ICUE)","volume":"158 1","pages":"1-7"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Energy and Environmental Implications of Green House Gas Mitigation Policies in the Transport Sector of Sri Lanka\",\"authors\":\"Gayashika L. Fernando, M. Liyanage, G. N. Samarasekara\",\"doi\":\"10.23919/ICUE-GESD.2018.8635590\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study analyzes the greenhouse gas mitigation policy options for the transport sector in Sri Lanka. It was carried out through the Asia—Pacific Integrated Assessment Model (AIM/Enduse), which is a bottom up type least cost optimization framework. A business as usual scenario and four alternative mitigation policy options were considered in this study. These policy options include two scenarios with 100 $/tonCO2, 500 $/tonCO2 carbon tax, a subsidy scenario with tax rebates for electric, hybrid vehicles and a scenario which promotes pubic transport. The results show that the transport sector energy consumption is expected to increase from 5 Mtoe in 2015 to 19.5 Mtoe in 2045. The CO2 emissions are expected to increase from 15 Mton in 2015 to 58 Mton in 2045. Out of the four scenarios, promoting public transport was most effective as it could reduce energy consumption by 52% and reduce CO2 emissions by almost 36% in 2045. At current electricity prices and other costs, electric vehicles are not found to be economical in the analysis.\",\"PeriodicalId\":6584,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2018 International Conference and Utility Exhibition on Green Energy for Sustainable Development (ICUE)\",\"volume\":\"158 1\",\"pages\":\"1-7\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2018 International Conference and Utility Exhibition on Green Energy for Sustainable Development (ICUE)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.23919/ICUE-GESD.2018.8635590\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2018 International Conference and Utility Exhibition on Green Energy for Sustainable Development (ICUE)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.23919/ICUE-GESD.2018.8635590","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究分析了斯里兰卡运输部门的温室气体减排政策选择。它是通过亚太综合评估模型(AIM/Enduse)进行的,这是一个自下而上的最小成本优化框架。本研究考虑了一种一切照旧的情景和四种备选缓解政策方案。这些政策方案包括两种方案,分别征收100美元/吨二氧化碳和500美元/吨二氧化碳的碳税,一种是对电动和混合动力汽车进行退税的补贴方案,另一种是促进公共交通的方案。结果表明,交通运输部门的能源消耗预计将从2015年的500万吨油当量增加到2045年的1950万吨油当量。二氧化碳排放量预计将从2015年的1500万吨增加到2045年的5800万吨。在这四种方案中,促进公共交通是最有效的,因为到2045年,它可以减少52%的能源消耗,减少近36%的二氧化碳排放。在目前的电价和其他成本下,电动汽车在分析中并不经济。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Energy and Environmental Implications of Green House Gas Mitigation Policies in the Transport Sector of Sri Lanka
This study analyzes the greenhouse gas mitigation policy options for the transport sector in Sri Lanka. It was carried out through the Asia—Pacific Integrated Assessment Model (AIM/Enduse), which is a bottom up type least cost optimization framework. A business as usual scenario and four alternative mitigation policy options were considered in this study. These policy options include two scenarios with 100 $/tonCO2, 500 $/tonCO2 carbon tax, a subsidy scenario with tax rebates for electric, hybrid vehicles and a scenario which promotes pubic transport. The results show that the transport sector energy consumption is expected to increase from 5 Mtoe in 2015 to 19.5 Mtoe in 2045. The CO2 emissions are expected to increase from 15 Mton in 2015 to 58 Mton in 2045. Out of the four scenarios, promoting public transport was most effective as it could reduce energy consumption by 52% and reduce CO2 emissions by almost 36% in 2045. At current electricity prices and other costs, electric vehicles are not found to be economical in the analysis.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信