具有媒介意识规划的确定性和随机流行病模型的最优控制分析

IF 2.2 Q1 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
S. R. Gani, S. V. Halawar
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本研究考虑了传染病的确定性微分方程模型和随机微分方程模型的最优控制分析,同时考虑了媒介宣传计划和传染病治疗对流行病的影响。针对确定性最优问题和随机最优问题,分别利用庞特里金极大值原理和哈密顿-雅可比-贝尔曼方程推导出二次代价函数下的最优媒体意识策略。hamilton - jacobi - bellman方程用于求解随机系统,这是一个完全非线性的方程,但需要指出的是,对于随机最优性系统,可能难以获得数值结果。对于随机最优系统的分析,利用确定性控制问题的结果,求出随机控制问题的近似数值解。模拟结果表明,媒体宣传计划在以最小的成本使感染人群最小化方面发挥了重要作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimal control analysis of deterministic and stochastic epidemic model with media awareness programs
The present study considered the optimal control analysis of  both deterministic differential equation modeling and stochastic differential equation modeling of infectious disease by taking effects of media awareness programs  and treatment of infectives on the epidemic into account. Optimal media awareness strategy under the quadratic cost functional using Pontrygin's Maximum Principle  and Hamiltonian-Jacobi-Bellman equation are derived for both deterministic and stochastic optimal problem respectively. The Hamiltonian-Jacobi-Bellman equation is used to solve stochastic system, which is fully non-linear equation, however it ought to be pointed out that for stochastic optimality system it may be difficult to obtain the numerical results. For the analysis of the stochastic optimality system, the results of deterministic control problem are used to find an approximate numerical solution for the stochastic control problem.  Outputs of the simulations shows that media awareness programs place important role in the minimization of infectious population with minimum cost.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.30
自引率
6.20%
发文量
13
审稿时长
16 weeks
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