“丹戎效应”、太阳引发的火山活动与气候变化的关系

IF 0.7 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
B. Komitov, V. Kaftan
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引用次数: 2

摘要

“丹琼效应”是一种现象,呈现出一种趋势,即所谓的“暗”月全食(DTLE)集中在太阳黑子周期最小阶段附近。这是本研究的起点,本研究的主要课题是对太阳活动和火山活动之间的关系进行最长时间的统计分析。为此,史密森国家自然历史博物馆的火山活动目录被使用。在此基础上,建立了公元1551-2020年期间全年火山喷发总量的时间序列,并探索了可能的太阳起源周期。周期分别为10-11年、19-25年、~ 60年和~ 240年(都可能起源于太阳)。还发现,在太阳黑子活动周期中,火山活动有两个一定的高峰,第一个高峰接近或在太阳黑子最小期之后(太阳黑子周期阶段0.9≤Φ≤1.0和0.1≤Φ≤0.2),第二个高峰较宽,接近太阳黑子周期最大值(0.3≤Φ≤0.5)。火山喷发指数VEI = 5的“中等强度”火山喷发在太阳黑子周期最大值后约3 ~ 4年出现第三次最大值(0.7≤Φ≤0.8)。它对应的是地磁活动次极大期,通常发生在太阳黑子极大期之后的3-4年。Φ是根据每个太阳黑子周期长度分别计算的。最后,没有任何例外,所有VEI≥6的最强烈的火山爆发都集中在~ 11年的schwab - wolf极端周期附近。讨论了火山事件中太阳和地磁活动的触发机制,以及它们与气候变化的关系(与银河宇宙射线(GCR)和/或太阳高能粒子(SEP)的相互作用)。1991年的皮纳图博火山爆发作为“纯粹的”强烈太阳-火山作用关系的一个例子进行了详细的分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
"Danjon Effect", Solar-Triggered Volcanic Activity, and Relation to Climate Change
The “Danjon effect” is a phenomenon that presents a tendency to concentrate the so-called “dark” total lunar eclipses (DTLE) near solar sunspot cycle minimum phases. It was a starting point for the present study, whose main subject is a statistical analysis of relationship between solar and volcanic activity for the maximum long time. To this end, the Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History's volcanic activity catalog was used. On its basis, a time series of the total annual volcanic eruptions for the period 1551–2020 AD has been built and explored for cycles of possible solar origin. Cycles with duration of 10–11, 19–25, ∼60, and ∼240 years (all with possible solar origin) has been established. It has also been found that there are two certain peaks of volcanic activity during the sunspot activity cycle: the first one is close to or after the sunspot minimum (sunspot cycle phase 0.9 ≤ Φ ≤1.0 and 0.1 ≤ Φ ≤ 0.2), and the second is wider – close to the sunspot cycle maximum (0.3 ≤ Φ ≤ 0.5). A third maximum is detected about 3–4 years after the sunspot cycle maximum (0.7 ≤ Φ ≤ 0.8) for the “moderate strong” volcanic eruptions with volcanic eruptive index VEI = 5. It corresponds to the geomagnetic activity secondary maximum, which usually occurs 3–4 years after the sunspot maximum. Φ is calculated separately on the basis of each sunspot cycle length. Finally, without any exclusions, all most powerful volcanic eruptions for which VEI ≥ 6 are centered near the ∼11-year Schwabe-Wolf cycle extremes. Trigger mechanisms of solar and geomagnetic activity over volcanic events, as well as their relation to climate change (in interaction with galactic cosmic rays (GCR) and/or solar energetic particles (SEP)), are discussed. The Pinatubo eruption in 1991 as an example of a “pure” strong solar–volcanism relationship has been analyzed in detail.
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来源期刊
Russian Journal of Earth Sciences
Russian Journal of Earth Sciences GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
15.40%
发文量
41
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