基于(M)GWR模型的珠海市社区特征对住房转售价格的影响

IF 4.2 3区 地球科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INFORMATION SYSTEMS
N. Liu, J. Strobl
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文旨在探讨珠海市住宅转售价格与社区特征、结构特征和区位特征之间的关系。收集了13个社区特征,分析它们对2018年社区一级公寓平均转售价格的影响。根据其统计显著性和OLS模型的多重共线性检验结果,选择了六个邻域特征,结构特征和位置特征。利用OLS、GWR和MGWR进行回归分析,比较它们在社区层面房价研究中的表现。三种模型的比较也表明,GWR(66%)和MGWR(68%)模型的性能明显优于OLS模型(52%)。在样本点较少的地区,MGWR与GWR差异不显著,在城市级研究区域,不同空间尺度下的最优带宽难以捕获。回归参数表明,在所有影响因素中,建筑年龄是最重要的因素。靠近学校和工厂分别对住房转售价格有显著的正、负影响。在城镇层面上也检测了邻域特征的空间格局。GWR和MGWR模型准确地反映了住房转售市场的局部空间异质性,当存在空间依赖性时,在拟合优度和参数估计方面优于传统的OLS模型。研究结果为地方规划部门提供了参考,有助于揭示住房价格与空间决定因素之间的复杂关系和空间格局。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of neighborhood features on housing resale prices in Zhuhai (China) based on an (M)GWR model
ABSTRACT The paper aims at exploring the relationship between housing resale prices and neighborhood features in Zhuhai, as well as structure and location characteristics. Thirteen neighborhood features are collected to analyze their influence on average community-level apartment resale prices in 2018. Six neighborhood features, structural and location characteristics, are selected according to their statistical significance and multicollinearity test results from an OLS model. Regression analysis is performed by OLS, GWR, and MGWR to compare their performance in housing price research at community level. The comparison of the three models also demonstrates that the GWR (66%) and MGWR (68%) models perform much better than OLS model (52%). MGWR is not significantly different from GWR in areas with few sample points, and the optimal bandwidth at different spatial scales is hard to be captured in a city-level study area. The regression parameter indicates that building age is the most important factor among all influencing factors. Proximity to schools and factories have positive and negative significant effects on housing resale prices, respectively. The spatial pattern of neighborhood features is also detected at town level. GWR and MGWR models accurately demonstrate local spatial heterogeneity of the housing resale market, which provides better results than the traditional OLS model in the goodness of fit and parameter estimates when spatial dependency is present. The results provide references for local planning departments, helping to reveal the complicated relationship and spatial patterns between housing price and determinants over space.
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来源期刊
Big Earth Data
Big Earth Data Earth and Planetary Sciences-Computers in Earth Sciences
CiteScore
7.40
自引率
10.00%
发文量
60
审稿时长
10 weeks
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