撒哈拉以南非洲的气候变化和人类热应激暴露。

Q1 Veterinary
D. Ayal
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引用次数: 4

摘要

撒哈拉以南非洲地区受到多方面相互关联的挑战的影响,包括气候变化风险、环境退化、政治危机、人口和粮食安全。该地区在地理上暴露于并严重依赖对热应力敏感的生计和经济。与干旱、洪水和不稳定的降雨不同,热应激的情况和影响并没有得到很好的记录。本文总结了热应力对萨赫勒地区各个部门的影响。结果显示,在撒哈拉以南非洲地区,暴露于热应激会对水、农业、粮食安全、健康和经济产生不利影响。该研究还表明,在撒哈拉以南非洲,特别是在半干旱和干旱地区,预计未来热应激对各个部门的影响将更加严重。热应力的变化和影响在区域内并不均匀。例如,东非同时受到健康影响的风险较高。预计西非的粮食生产将受到严重影响。南非的降水减少幅度最大,同时也存在干旱风险。因此,了解热应激对人类和各种热敏感部门的影响应该是研究人员的重点。然而,考虑到模型结果的不确定性和该地区热应激的影响程度,在不同的生态环境下发展适应能力,使该地区人口能够适应与气候变化和热应激相关的风险因素是很重要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate change and human heat stress exposure in sub-Saharan Africa.
Abstract The sub-Saharan Africa region has been affected by multifaceted interrelated challenges including climate change risks, environmental degradation, political crises, demographic, and food security. The region is geographically exposed to and heavily depends on heat stress-sensitive livelihood and economy. Unlike drought, flood, and erratic rainfall, the situation and impact of heat stress are not well documented. This paper summarized the impact of heat stress on various sectors of the Sahel region. The result revealed that exposure to heat stress contributed to water, agricultural, food security, health, and economic adverse impacts in sub-Saharan Africa. The study also shows in sub- Saharan Africa especially in semiarid and arid areas the future impact of heat stress in various sectors is expected to be more severe. The changes and impacts of heat stress are not uniform across the region. For instance, East Africa is at higher risk of acquiring concurrent health impacts. West Africa is projected to experience severe impacts on food production. South Africa observes the strongest decrease in precipitation with concurrent risks of drought. Thus, understanding the effect of heat stress on humans and various heat-sensitive sectors should be the focus of researchers. However, given the degree of uncertainty of the models' results and effect of heat stress in the region, it is important to develop adaptive capacities at different ecological settings that enable the region population to adapt to risk factors related to climate change and heat stress.
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来源期刊
CAB Reviews: Perspectives in Agriculture, Veterinary Science, Nutrition and Natural Resources
CAB Reviews: Perspectives in Agriculture, Veterinary Science, Nutrition and Natural Resources Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Agricultural and Biological Sciences (all)
CiteScore
2.00
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0.00%
发文量
41
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