基于T-X分布族新成员的汽车保险损失数据建模

IF 1 Q3 Mathematics
Zubair Ahmad, E. Mahmoudi, S. Dey, Saima K. Khosa
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引用次数: 19

摘要

在精算文献中,我们遇到了各种各样的概率分布来拟合保险损失数据。流行的分布有对数正态分布、对数-t分布、各种版本的帕累托分布、对数逻辑分布、威布尔分布、伽玛分布及其变体以及广义的第二类贝塔分布等。在本文中,我们试图通过引入重尾模型(称为加权T-X威布尔分布)来补充分布理论文献。所提出的分布表现出与精算科学和推理相关的理想特性。给出了加权T-X威布尔分布的密度函数形状和关键分布性质。计算了风险值、风险尾值、尾方差和尾方差溢价等精算指标。基于精算方法进行了仿真研究。最后,通过对汽车保险损失数据的分析,对该方法进行了验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling Vehicle Insurance Loss Data Using a New Member of T-X Family of Distributions
In actuarial literature, we come across a diverse range of probability distributions for fitting insurance loss data. Popular distributions are lognormal, log-t, various versions of Pareto, log-logistic, Weibull, gamma and its variants and a generalized beta of the second kind, among others. In this paper, we try to supplement the distribution theory literature by incorporating the heavy tailed model, called weighted T-X Weibull distribution. The proposed distribution exhibits desirable properties relevant to the actuarial science and inference. Shapes of the density function and key distributional properties of the weighted T-X Weibull distribution are presented. Some actuarial measures such as value at risk, tail value at risk, tail variance and tail variance premium are calculated. A simulation study based on the actuarial measures is provided. Finally, the proposed method is illustrated via analyzing vehicle insurance loss data.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
13
审稿时长
13 weeks
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