Marriage Pattern in the City of Shanghai

In this study, we analyze marriage patterns in the city of Shanghai using the behavioral two-sex marriage model approach applied to the 2005 National One Percent Population Census data. The empirical part shows that the behavioral marriage model could be useful in assessing how much of the change in aggregate marriage behavior is due to changes in the distribution of the micro individual's marriage preferences and how much is due to changes in the set of unmarried females and males in the respective age groups that, in the long term, will become serious due to the highly unbalanced sex ratio at birth in China. We also employ a multistage life table projection model to show the long-term population scenario that conditions continuation of the current marriage pattern.