人工智能的新应用有望改变挪威大陆架的油井规划工作流程

J. G. Vabø, E. Delaney, T. Savel, N. Dolle
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摘要

本文介绍了人工智能(AI)在Equinor年度井计划和成熟过程中的转型应用。与行业中的许多其他流程一样,井计划也是一个复杂的决策过程。有成千上万的选择,相互冲突的业务驱动因素,大量的不确定性和隐藏的偏见。这些复杂因素叠加在一起,使得做出正确的决策变得非常困难。在该应用中,人工智能被用于对整个解决方案空间进行自动化和无偏见的评估,目的是优化钻井作业的选择,同时考虑到诸如防与现有井的碰撞、钻井危害以及成本、价值和风险之间的权衡等复杂问题。设计可钻井轨迹涉及一系列决策,这使得该过程非常适合人工智能算法。可以使用不同的求解器架构或算法来玩这个游戏。这与谷歌旗下的DeepMind等公司为围棋和《星际争霸》等游戏开发定制解决方案的方式类似。所选择的方法是带有进化层的Tree Search算法,在性能(即速度)与探索能力(即在选项空间中看起来很“宽”)方面提供了良好的平衡。该算法已部署在基于web的全栈应用程序中,允许用户遵循端到端工作流程:从定义井眼轨迹设计规则和约束,到运行AI引擎和评估结果,再到基于风险、价值和成本目标的多井钻井作业优化。完整尺寸的论文描述了该AI辅助井眼轨迹规划的不同挪威大陆架(NCS)用例。迄今为止的结果表明,与常规的人工工作流程相比,该系统具有显著的资本支出节省潜力,决策速度(从几个月到几天)也有了阶段性的提高。人工智能在多学科工作流程中的真正变革的例子非常有限。因此,本文给出了一个独特的见解,即数据科学、领域专业知识和最终用户反馈的结合如何导致强大和变革性的人工智能解决方案——在现有组织中大规模实施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Novel Application of Artificial Intelligence with Potential to Transform Well Planning Workflows on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
This paper describes the transformational application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Equinor's annual well planning and maturation process. Well planning is a complex decision-making process, like many other processes in the industry. There are thousands of choices, conflicting business drivers, lots of uncertainty, and hidden bias. These complexities all add up, which makes good decision making very hard. In this application, AI has been used for automated and unbiased evaluation of the full solution space, with the objective to optimize the selection of drilling campaigns while taking into account complex issues such as anti-collision with existing wells, drilling hazards and trade-offs between cost, value and risk. Designing drillable well trajectories involves a sequence of decisions, which makes the process very suitable for AI algorithms. Different solver architectures, or algorithms, can be used to play this game. This is similar to how companies such as Google-owned DeepMind develop customized solvers for games such as Go and StarCraft. The chosen method is a Tree Search algorithm with an evolutionary layer on top, providing a good balance in terms of performance (i.e., speed) vs. exploration capability (i.e., it looks "wide" in the option space). The algorithm has been deployed in a full stack web-based application that allows users to follow an end-2-end workflow: from defining well trajectory design rules and constraints to running the AI engine and evaluating results to the optimization of multi-well drilling campaigns based on risk, value and cost objectives. The full-size paper describes different Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS) use cases of this AI assisted well trajectory planning. Results to-date indicate significant CAPEX savings potential and step-change improvements in decision speed (months to days) compared to routine manual workflows. There are very limited real transformative examples of Artificial Intelligence in multi- disciplinary workflows. This paper therefore gives a unique insight how a combination of data science, domain expertise and end user feedback can lead to powerful and transformative AI solutions – implemented at scale within an existing organization.
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