{"title":"反向传播网络与ARIMA在比特币价格预测中的预测能力比较","authors":"Chung Chen, Jung-Hsin Chang, Fang-Cih Lin, Jui-Cheng Hung, Cheng-Shian Lin, Yi-Hsien Wang","doi":"10.1109/ISPACS48206.2019.8986297","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer (P2P) electronic currency that allows online payments around the world without the management of a third party. Many studies have been conducted on the performance prediction of the stock market; in particular, the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA) is one of the linear regressive models widely used in the time series. Nevertheless, as artificial intelligence has become a heated research topic in modern days, A number of studies have also shown that the Back-propagation Neural Network (BPNN) is very effective in prediction. Hence, this paper compares the ARIMA model with the BPNN model in the prediction of Bitcoin price.","PeriodicalId":6765,"journal":{"name":"2019 International Symposium on Intelligent Signal Processing and Communication Systems (ISPACS)","volume":"62 1","pages":"1-2"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"7","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Comparison of Forcasting Ability between Backpropagation Network and ARIMA in the Prediction of Bitcoin Price\",\"authors\":\"Chung Chen, Jung-Hsin Chang, Fang-Cih Lin, Jui-Cheng Hung, Cheng-Shian Lin, Yi-Hsien Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ISPACS48206.2019.8986297\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer (P2P) electronic currency that allows online payments around the world without the management of a third party. Many studies have been conducted on the performance prediction of the stock market; in particular, the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA) is one of the linear regressive models widely used in the time series. Nevertheless, as artificial intelligence has become a heated research topic in modern days, A number of studies have also shown that the Back-propagation Neural Network (BPNN) is very effective in prediction. Hence, this paper compares the ARIMA model with the BPNN model in the prediction of Bitcoin price.\",\"PeriodicalId\":6765,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2019 International Symposium on Intelligent Signal Processing and Communication Systems (ISPACS)\",\"volume\":\"62 1\",\"pages\":\"1-2\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"7\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2019 International Symposium on Intelligent Signal Processing and Communication Systems (ISPACS)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISPACS48206.2019.8986297\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2019 International Symposium on Intelligent Signal Processing and Communication Systems (ISPACS)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ISPACS48206.2019.8986297","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Comparison of Forcasting Ability between Backpropagation Network and ARIMA in the Prediction of Bitcoin Price
Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer (P2P) electronic currency that allows online payments around the world without the management of a third party. Many studies have been conducted on the performance prediction of the stock market; in particular, the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average model (ARIMA) is one of the linear regressive models widely used in the time series. Nevertheless, as artificial intelligence has become a heated research topic in modern days, A number of studies have also shown that the Back-propagation Neural Network (BPNN) is very effective in prediction. Hence, this paper compares the ARIMA model with the BPNN model in the prediction of Bitcoin price.