检视中国反腐的影响:对澳门旅游及博彩业的预测

IF 1.6 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM

Tourism and Hospitality Management-Croatia Pub Date : 2022-08-25 DOI:10.3390/tourhosp3030046

Fanli Zhou, Tianshu Zheng, Thomas Schrier, John R Farrish

{"title":"检视中国反腐的影响:对澳门旅游及博彩业的预测","authors":"Fanli Zhou, Tianshu Zheng, Thomas Schrier, John R Farrish","doi":"10.3390/tourhosp3030046","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Using the ARIMA time-series analysis technique, this study measured the impact China’s anti-corruption campaign had on Macau’s casino gaming industry and forecasted future gaming revenue. This study also analyzed current trends and proposed future strategies for the Macau tourism and gaming industry. The results suggest China’s anti-corruption campaign did not significantly affect Macau’s non-VIP gaming revenue. Instead, the campaign has triggered positive changes for Macau’s tourism and gaming industry by transforming it from an unbalanced development model relying solely on VIP business to a diversified healthy development, which would potentially bring positive impact to Macau’s overall economy in the future. The findings of this study echo the revisions of gaming laws proposed by the Macau Special Administrative Region Government in September 2021 and provide new insights into the impact of the anti-corruption policy with focus on the outlook of Macau’s tourism and gaming industry.","PeriodicalId":45185,"journal":{"name":"Tourism and Hospitality Management-Croatia","volume":"181 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2022-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Examining the Impact of China’s Corruption Crackdown: A Forecast for Macau’s Tourism and Gaming Industry\",\"authors\":\"Fanli Zhou, Tianshu Zheng, Thomas Schrier, John R Farrish\",\"doi\":\"10.3390/tourhosp3030046\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Using the ARIMA time-series analysis technique, this study measured the impact China’s anti-corruption campaign had on Macau’s casino gaming industry and forecasted future gaming revenue. This study also analyzed current trends and proposed future strategies for the Macau tourism and gaming industry. The results suggest China’s anti-corruption campaign did not significantly affect Macau’s non-VIP gaming revenue. Instead, the campaign has triggered positive changes for Macau’s tourism and gaming industry by transforming it from an unbalanced development model relying solely on VIP business to a diversified healthy development, which would potentially bring positive impact to Macau’s overall economy in the future. The findings of this study echo the revisions of gaming laws proposed by the Macau Special Administrative Region Government in September 2021 and provide new insights into the impact of the anti-corruption policy with focus on the outlook of Macau’s tourism and gaming industry.\",\"PeriodicalId\":45185,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tourism and Hospitality Management-Croatia\",\"volume\":\"181 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-08-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tourism and Hospitality Management-Croatia\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3390/tourhosp3030046\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tourism and Hospitality Management-Croatia","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3390/tourhosp3030046","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究采用ARIMA时间序列分析技术，测量了中国反腐运动对澳门博彩业的影响，并预测了未来的博彩业收入。本研究亦分析了澳门旅游及博彩业的发展趋势，并提出未来发展策略。结果表明，中国的反腐运动并未显著影响澳门的非贵宾博彩收入。澳门旅游博彩业从单纯依赖VIP业务的不平衡发展模式，转变为多元化的健康发展模式，为澳门整体经济带来积极影响。这项研究的结果与澳门特别行政区政府于2021年9月提出的博彩法修正案相呼应，并为澳门旅游业和博彩业的前景提供了有关反腐败政策影响的新见解。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Examining the Impact of China’s Corruption Crackdown: A Forecast for Macau’s Tourism and Gaming Industry

Using the ARIMA time-series analysis technique, this study measured the impact China’s anti-corruption campaign had on Macau’s casino gaming industry and forecasted future gaming revenue. This study also analyzed current trends and proposed future strategies for the Macau tourism and gaming industry. The results suggest China’s anti-corruption campaign did not significantly affect Macau’s non-VIP gaming revenue. Instead, the campaign has triggered positive changes for Macau’s tourism and gaming industry by transforming it from an unbalanced development model relying solely on VIP business to a diversified healthy development, which would potentially bring positive impact to Macau’s overall economy in the future. The findings of this study echo the revisions of gaming laws proposed by the Macau Special Administrative Region Government in September 2021 and provide new insights into the impact of the anti-corruption policy with focus on the outlook of Macau’s tourism and gaming industry.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

Tourism and Hospitality Management-Croatia HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-

CiteScore

1.90

自引率

23.10%

发文量

审稿时长

15 weeks

期刊介绍： Tourism and Hospitality Management is an international, multidisciplinary, open access journal, aiming to promote and enhance research in all fields of the tourism and hospitality industry. It publishes double-blind reviewed papers and encourages an interchange between tourism and hospitality researchers, educators and managers. Editors of Tourism and Hospitality Management strongly promote research integrity and aim to prevent any type of scientific misconduct, such as: fabrication, falsification, plagiarism, redundant publication and authorship problems. All submitted manuscripts are checked using Crossref Similarity Check (iThenticate). Nurturing a scientifically based approach to research, the journal publishes original papers along with empirical research and theoretical articles that contribute to the conceptual development of tourism and hospitality management. Editors look particularly for articles about new trends, challenges and developments, as well as the application of new ideas that are likely to affect the tourism and hospitality industry. The general criteria for the acceptance of articles are: contribution to the scientific knowledge in the field of tourism and hospitality management, scientifically reliable research methodology, relevant literature review and quality of the English language.