行业权益资本成本估算的实用方法

Mike Aguilar, Robert A. Connolly, Jiaxia Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一种方法来减少与行业权益资本成本(ECC)相关的标准误差,这是Fama French(1997)研究的一个问题。关于ECC估计的不确定性大约90%来自因素风险溢价,而不是因素暴露。此外,这些风险溢价的不确定性至少有75%是由第二次回归的标准误差驱动的。这些标准误差被回归过程中的季节性噪音夸大了。通过过滤这种噪声,我们生成的ECC估计平均不变,但标准误差约为未过滤时的四分之一。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Practical Method for Sharpening Estimates of Industry Equity Capital Costs
We propose a method for reducing standard errors associated with industry equity capital costs (ECC), a problem studied by Fama French (1997). Approximately 90% of the uncertainty regarding ECC estimates comes from the factor risk premia, as opposed to factor exposures. Furthermore, at least 75% of the uncertainty regarding these risk premia is driven by the standard error of the second pass regression. These standard errors are inflated by seasonal noise in the return process. By filtering this noise, we generate ECC estimates that are unchanged on average, but with standard errors that are about one-quarter of the size without filtering.
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